Do I ship it?

GamesThird-Person ShooterThird-Person Shooter + Hunting

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hunting Third-Person Shooter?

Third-Person Shooter + Hunting

Only 17 developers shipped a Hunting Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, IfSunSets, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180. 34 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper, while revenue is down 85% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 34 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Third-Person Shooter + Hunting
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.6k → $33k → $3.6k → $178 → $270 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Third-Person Shooter + Hunting: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $3.8k (exactly $3,838)
Top 5% $1.4M (exactly $1,369,715)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 42
Announced 34
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Third-Person Shooter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Hunting
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Third-Person Shooter, Hunting; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Crafting, RPG, Survival
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 70% positive over 2,917 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $900, 1 in 4 over $3.8k, 1 in 20 over $1.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 7 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Third-Person Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds6 devs · median $3.3k · 6 announced
  2. + WesternFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  3. + CollectathonLong shot19 devs · median $599 · 20 announced
  4. + Time ManagementLong shot15 devs · median $538 · 12 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot27 devs · median $479 · 27 announced
  6. + Class-BasedPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  7. + Creature CollectorPoor odds12 devs · median $13k · 15 announced
  8. + DinosaursPoor odds8 devs · median $9.0k · 14 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds38 devs · median $7.2k · 63 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds12 devs · median $6.9k · 70 announced
  11. + Level EditorPoor odds10 devs · median $6.9k · 14 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds65 devs · median $5.1k · 156 announced

All 163 pairs on the Third-Person Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
IfSunSets · EA $19.99 2,284 74% 69k $1.4M (exactly $1,369,715) POLYMORPH
Hunt and Snare · EA older $29.99 720 80% 22k $648k (exactly $647,784) Ruffleneck, Hare, Drathek
Taora : Survival · EA older $13.99 353 55% 11k $148k (exactly $148,154) Tulpar Games
Touhou Mechanical Scrollery | 幻想討幻経 older $19.99 243 53% 7.3k $146k (exactly $145,727) 巫女さん作法
Afterinfection $8.99 463 56% 14k $125k (exactly $124,871) RePatrick21
ScrewUp older $9.99 259 68% 7.8k $78k (exactly $77,622) 199 Cents STUDIO
Dinosis Survival older $5.99 291 55% 8.7k $52k (exactly $52,293) Corpix Games
Ice World $9.99 111 57% 3.3k $33k (exactly $33,267) CoolRabbit Games
DAISY THE SWIMMER older $5.99 121 63% 3.6k $22k (exactly $21,744) nStarcube
Crowhille - Detective Case Files VR older $5.99 90 88% 2.7k $16k (exactly $16,173) Saturn VR, NipsApp Gaming Software
CHEMISTS: Dead Zone · EA $15.99 24 62% 720 $12k (exactly $11,513) RPAX GAMING
LivingForest $15.99 8 62% 240 $3.8k (exactly $3,838) LivingEveryday
CODE:VALKYRIE III $19.99 6 66% 180 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) Ulimworks
Twisted Chance Online · EA $12.99 4 75% 120 $1.6k (exactly $1,559) Fantasy World
Money Theft 2: Heist $3.99 10 70% 300 $1.2k (exactly $1,197) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
DinoGORE $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) David Mills
Wendigo Land : Survive The Legend · EA $6.99 4 75% 120 $839 (exactly $839) Apinat Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.