Do I ship it?

Games › Mechanics › Roguelike Deckbuilder

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roguelike Deckbuilder?

Roguelike Deckbuilder

Of 539 developers who shipped a Roguelike Deckbuilder in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 870 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.7k, ×14 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $690k, ×1469 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 870 games are announced against 352 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 14.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 870 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Roguelike Deckbuilder
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 539
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.0k → $54k → $17k → $17k → $12k → $12k → $4.3k (still earning) → $2.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Roguelike Deckbuilder: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 539
Bottom 30% $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Median $6.7k (exactly $6,746)
Top 25% $49k (exactly $49,455)
Top 5% $698k (exactly $697,971)
Developers, 2 yr 539
Released games 902
Announced 870
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Roguelike Deckbuilder
effort 3 / 10 · high · deckbuilding rules plus procedural runs

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Roguelike Deckbuilder
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 71% positive over 273,031 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.7k, median $6.7k, 1 in 4 over $49k, 1 in 20 over $690k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 6 in 10 of the 211 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 870 games are announced against 352 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Roguelike Deckbuilder

50 pairs with a mechanicwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Physics + Roguelike Deckbuilder Strong odds $8.1k 31 devs
  2. Inventory Management + Roguelike Deckbuilder Fair $12k 43 devs
  3. Roguelike Deckbuilder + Dice Fair $9.6k 36 devs
  4. Tactical RPG + Roguelike Deckbuilder Fair $9.0k 24 devs
  5. Perma Death + Roguelike Deckbuilder Fair $8.1k 65 devs
  6. Exploration + Roguelike Deckbuilder Fair $8.1k 22 devs
  7. Arcade + Roguelike Deckbuilder Fair $4.3k 59 devs
  8. Roguelike Deckbuilder + Puzzle Fair $3.6k 40 devs
  9. PvP + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $56k 17 devs
  10. Multiple Endings + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $40k 14 devs
  11. Simulation + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $27k 68 devs
  12. Resource Management + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $27k 44 devs
  13. Building + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $27k 19 devs
  14. Roguelike Deckbuilder + Gambling Poor odds $26k 31 devs
  15. Grid-Based Movement + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $25k 20 devs
  16. Auto Battler + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $20k 69 devs
  17. Tactical + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $14k 88 devs
  18. Adventure + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $13k 59 devs
  19. Turn-Based + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $12k 144 devs
  20. Management + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $12k 42 devs
  21. Roguelike Deckbuilder + Tower Defense Poor odds $11k 25 devs
  22. Dungeon Crawler + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $11k 97 devs
  23. Strategy RPG + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $11k 31 devs
  24. Survival + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $11k 16 devs
  25. Procedural Generation + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $10k 154 devs
  26. Roguelike Deckbuilder + Board Game Poor odds $10k 62 devs
  27. Turn-Based Strategy + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $10k 214 devs
  28. RPG + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $9.7k 148 devs
  29. Roguelike Deckbuilder + Roguelite Poor odds $9.3k 408 devs
  30. Turn-Based Combat + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $8.6k 195 devs
  31. Choices Matter + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $8.1k 113 devs
  32. Deckbuilding + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $7.8k 488 devs
  33. Roguelike + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $7.6k 488 devs
  34. Strategy + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $7.3k 502 devs
  35. Roguelike Deckbuilder + Card Game Poor odds $7.3k 380 devs
  36. Turn-Based Tactics + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $7.2k 164 devs
  37. Card Battler + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $7.0k 304 devs
  38. Combat + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $4.8k 38 devs
  39. Character Customization + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $4.5k 13 devs
  40. PvE + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $4.1k 61 devs
  41. Action + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $4.1k 56 devs
  42. Action Roguelike + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $4.1k 38 devs
  43. Roguelike Deckbuilder + Score Attack Poor odds $4.0k 39 devs
  44. Creature Collector + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $3.8k 21 devs
  45. Trading Card Game + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $3.4k 24 devs
  46. Roguelike Deckbuilder + Logic Poor odds $3.1k 22 devs
  47. Roguelike Deckbuilder + Tabletop Poor odds $3.1k 38 devs
  48. Roguelike Deckbuilder + Solitaire Poor odds $3.1k 21 devs
  49. Bullet Hell + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $3.0k 19 devs
  50. Class-Based + Roguelike Deckbuilder Dead $7.3k 14 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Slay the Spire 2019 · $144M Slay the Spire 2 2026 · EA · $138M Balatro 2024 · $72M Monster Train 2020 · $15M 9 Kings 2025 · EA · $13M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Slay the Spire older $24.99 191,765 97% 5.8M $144M (exactly $143,766,220) Mega Crit
Slay the Spire 2 · EA $24.99 183,764 61% 5.5M $138M (exactly $137,767,871) Mega Crit
Balatro older $14.99 160,715 97% 4.8M $72M (exactly $72,273,536) LocalThunk
Monster Train older $24.99 19,950 95% 599k $15M (exactly $14,956,515) Shiny Shoe
9 Kings · EA $19.99 21,352 92% 641k $13M (exactly $12,804,794) Sad Socket
Chrono Ark older $24.99 12,623 90% 379k $9.5M (exactly $9,463,463) Al Fine
Backpack Battles $14.99 18,933 91% 568k $8.5M (exactly $8,514,170) PlayWithFurcifer
Griftlands older $19.99 13,440 93% 403k $8.1M (exactly $8,059,968) Klei Entertainment
Monster Train 2 $24.99 8,647 95% 259k $6.5M (exactly $6,482,656) Shiny Shoe
ROUNDS older $5.99 35,738 95% 1.1M $6.4M (exactly $6,422,119) Landfall
Vampire Crawlers: The Turbo Wildcard from Vampire Survivors $9.99 18,587 96% 558k $5.6M (exactly $5,570,524) poncle, Nosebleed Interactive
Super Fantasy Kingdom · EA $19.99 5,630 86% 169k $3.4M (exactly $3,376,311) Super Fantasy Games
StarVaders $24.99 3,760 97% 113k $2.8M (exactly $2,818,872) Pengonauts
He is Coming · EA $19.99 3,834 84% 115k $2.3M (exactly $2,299,250) Chronocle
Emberward $19.99 3,775 96% 113k $2.3M (exactly $2,263,868) Refic Games
DICEOMANCER $14.99 4,749 96% 142k $2.1M (exactly $2,135,625) 超厚皮猪猪 Ultra Piggy Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.