Do I ship it?

Games › Roguelike Deckbuilder › Roguelike Deckbuilder + Gambling

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gambling Roguelike Deckbuilder?

Roguelike Deckbuilder + Gambling

Of 31 developers who shipped a Gambling Roguelike Deckbuilder in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 66 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $26k, ×54 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.3k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.6M, ×3518 the market median. Revenue is up 145% on the market; 66 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 54.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 145% on the market, 66 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Roguelike Deckbuilder + Gambling
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 31
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $29k → $1.1k → $20k → $14k → $71k (still earning) → $7.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Roguelike Deckbuilder + Gambling: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 31
Bottom 30% $2.2k (exactly $2,248)
Median $26k (exactly $25,793)
Top 25% $82k (exactly $81,989)
Top 5% $1.7M (exactly $1,671,085)
Developers, 2 yr 31
Released games 40
Announced 66
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 145% on the market, supply 190% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Roguelike Deckbuilder
effort 3 / 10 · high · deckbuilding rules plus procedural runs
Gambling
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Roguelike Deckbuilder, Gambling; all of the top 25% also carry Deckbuilding, Roguelike, Roguelite
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 15,729 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.3k, median $26k, 1 in 4 over $81k, 1 in 20 over $1.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.3k. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 66 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Roguelike Deckbuilder with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + PhysicsStrong odds31 devs · median $8.1k · 30 announced
  2. + Inventory ManagementFair43 devs · median $12k · 47 announced
  3. + DiceFair36 devs · median $9.6k · 53 announced
  4. + Tactical RPGFair24 devs · median $9.0k · 29 announced
  5. + Perma DeathFair65 devs · median $8.1k · 66 announced
  6. + ExplorationFair22 devs · median $8.1k · 26 announced
  7. + Female ProtagonistFair35 devs · median $7.8k · 50 announced
  8. + MythologyFair22 devs · median $6.9k · 25 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair59 devs · median $4.3k · 88 announced
  10. + PuzzleFair40 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  11. + CyberpunkLong shot17 devs · median $179 · 20 announced
  12. + PvPPoor odds17 devs · median $56k · 42 announced

All 60 pairs on the Roguelike Deckbuilder page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Sol Cesto 2026 · $2.0M Dungeon Clawler 2026 · $1.7M RACCOIN: Coin Pusher Roguelike 2026 · $1.5M Dungeons & Degenerate Gamblers 2024 · $1.3M Bingle Bingle 2026 · $300k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sol Cesto $13.99 4,838 91% 145k $2.0M (exactly $2,030,509) Tambouille, Géraud Zucchini, Chariospir… (Tambouille, Géraud Zucchini, Chariospirale)
Dungeon Clawler $14.99 3,716 88% 111k $1.7M (exactly $1,671,085) Stray Fawn Studio
RACCOIN: Coin Pusher Roguelike $11.99 4,239 82% 127k $1.5M (exactly $1,524,768) Doraccoon
Dungeons & Degenerate Gamblers older $14.99 2,988 81% 90k $1.3M (exactly $1,343,704) Purple Moss Collectors
Bingle Bingle $14.99 666 80% 20k $300k (exactly $299,500) Knitting Games
Insider Trading $12.89 600 79% 18k $232k (exactly $232,020) Naiive
Spin Hero $7.99 573 73% 17k $137k (exactly $137,348) Sphere Studios
Fhtagn Simulator older $7.99 535 89% 16k $128k (exactly $128,240) 锁眼工作室
LuckLand older $8.99 422 95% 13k $114k (exactly $113,813) e-Jade
Dicealot $14.99 218 78% 6.5k $98k (exactly $98,035) goodviewgames
Slot & Dungeons $8.99 304 83% 9.1k $82k (exactly $81,989) MUC GAMES
Plinbo: Roguelike Plinko $6.99 379 67% 11k $79k (exactly $79,476) Raphus & Co.
RogueJack21 $11.99 196 67% 5.9k $71k (exactly $70,501) Zandbox Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.