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Should I ship a Roguelike Deckbuilder Trading Card Game?
Trading Card Game + Roguelike Deckbuilder
Of 24 developers who shipped a Roguelike Deckbuilder Trading Card Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 38 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.4k, ×5.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $280k, ×453 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 38 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.4k (exactly $3,420) |
| Top 25% | $34k (exactly $34,177) |
| Top 5% | $284k (exactly $284,462) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 24 |
| Released games | 47 |
| Announced | 38 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Trading Card Game
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Roguelike Deckbuilder
- effort 3 / 10 · high · deckbuilding rules plus procedural runs
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Trading Card Game, Roguelike Deckbuilder; all of the top 25% also carry Card Battler, Roguelike, Roguelite
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 3,415 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 38 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Trading Card Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Immersive SimStrong odds
- + SandboxFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + Procedural GenerationPoor odds
- + TradingPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + CollectathonPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Auto BattlerPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + EconomyPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Dream of Corpse Lady | $9.99 | 2,115 93% | 63k | $634k (exactly $633,866) | HT3 Studio | |
| | RUNGORE | older | $14.99 | 991 85% | 30k | $446k (exactly $445,653) | YOUR_MOM'S_HP, RavenJm |
| | Rogue Voltage | $15.99 | 593 92% | 18k | $284k (exactly $284,462) | Horizont Computergrafik | |
| | Ruff Ghanor | older | $19.99 | 435 85% | 13k | $261k (exactly $260,869) | DX Gameworks |
| | Zero Division | older | $12.99 | 271 87% | 8.1k | $106k (exactly $105,609) | Robot Cat Limited |
| | Power Chord | older | $19.99 | 170 71% | 5.1k | $102k (exactly $101,949) | Big Blue Bubble |
| | Witch and Council : The Card | $14.99 | 182 48% | 5.5k | $82k (exactly $81,845) | G1 Playground | |
| | Helmetman | · EA older | $19.99 | 136 79% | 4.1k | $82k (exactly $81,559) | GoniNmimi Games |
| | Is It Wrong to Repay the Debt in a Dungeon? | older | $17.99 | 118 79% | 3.5k | $64k (exactly $63,685) | Atelier Wanko |
| | Coin Crypt | older | $9.99 | 212 91% | 6.4k | $64k (exactly $63,536) | Wishes Ultd., Greg Lobanov |
| | Isle of Swaps | $14.99 | 129 90% | 3.9k | $58k (exactly $58,011) | Fuzz Force | |
| | Stash: A Card Looter | $9.99 | 186 79% | 5.6k | $56k (exactly $55,744) | WheeGaming | |
| | Handmancers | · EA | $14.99 | 76 88% | 2.3k | $34k (exactly $34,177) | 58BLADES |
| | Monster Tavern | · EA | $11.99 | 46 100% | 1.4k | $17k (exactly $16,546) | Toki Games LLC |
| | Card Artisan | $12.99 | 36 91% | 1.1k | $14k (exactly $14,029) | Fullen Games | |
| | Millennium Strategy | $14.99 | 21 85% | 630 | $9.4k (exactly $9,444) | MiMo Games | |
| | Card of Legend | $6.99 | 31 54% | 930 | $6.5k (exactly $6,501) | Anchor Node |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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