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Should I ship a Dice Roguelike Deckbuilder?
Roguelike Deckbuilder + Dice
Of 36 developers who shipped a Dice Roguelike Deckbuilder in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 53 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $9.6k, ×20 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $2.3k. Revenue is up 25% on the market; 53 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $2.2k (exactly $2,242) |
|---|---|
| Median | $9.6k (exactly $9,646) |
| Top 25% | $71k (exactly $71,349) |
| Top 5% | $939k (exactly $939,130) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 36 |
| Released games | 46 |
| Announced | 53 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 25% on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Roguelike Deckbuilder
- effort 3 / 10 · high · deckbuilding rules plus procedural runs
- Dice
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Roguelike Deckbuilder, Dice; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Deckbuilding, Roguelike, Roguelite
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Difficult
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 9,668 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.3k. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 53 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Roguelike Deckbuilder with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + PhysicsStrong odds
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + Tactical RPGFair
- + Perma DeathFair
- + ExplorationFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + MythologyFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + PuzzleFair
- + CyberpunkLong shot
- + PvPPoor odds
- + Multiple EndingsPoor odds
Comparable games
Dicey Dungeons 2019 · $4.7M 
Gordian Quest 2022 · $3.2M 
Astrea: Six-Sided Oracles 2023 · $2.3M 
DICEOMANCER 2024 · $2.1M 
Dice & Fold 2024 · $1.4M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Dicey Dungeons | older | $14.99 | 10,444 88% | 313k | $4.7M (exactly $4,696,667) | Terry Cavanagh |
| | Gordian Quest | older | $19.99 | 5,259 88% | 158k | $3.2M (exactly $3,153,822) | Mixed Realms Pte Ltd, Swag Soft Holding… (Mixed Realms Pte Ltd, Swag Soft Holdings Pte Ltd) |
| | Astrea: Six-Sided Oracles | older | $24.99 | 3,011 92% | 90k | $2.3M (exactly $2,257,347) | Little Leo Games |
| | DICEOMANCER | $14.99 | 4,749 96% | 142k | $2.1M (exactly $2,135,625) | 超厚皮猪猪 Ultra Piggy Studio | |
| | Dice & Fold | older | $12.99 | 3,491 83% | 105k | $1.4M (exactly $1,360,443) | Tinymice Entertainment |
 | SpellRogue | $19.99 | 1,566 86% | 47k | $939k (exactly $939,130) | Guidelight Games | |
 | Dice A Million | $12.99 | 1,075 90% | 32k | $419k (exactly $418,928) | countlessnights | |
 | Dice With Death | $13.99 | 779 91% | 23k | $327k (exactly $326,946) | Sea Glass Games | |
 | Feed the Scorchpot | $14.99 | 371 87% | 11k | $167k (exactly $166,839) | Moravian | |
 | Dice Legends | $19.99 | 252 76% | 7.6k | $151k (exactly $151,124) | Big Bite Games, Ad Luna | |
 | Die For The Lich | · EA | $11.99 | 275 78% | 8.3k | $99k (exactly $98,918) | Monovoid |
 | DOG WITCH | $9.99 | 323 89% | 9.7k | $97k (exactly $96,803) | Heckmouse | |
 | Archon Soul | $13.99 | 170 88% | 5.1k | $71k (exactly $71,349) | PolyGryph | |
 | RogueDiceR | · EA | $14.99 | 108 84% | 3.2k | $49k (exactly $48,568) | GAMPANY |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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