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Should I ship a Character Customization Roguelike Deckbuilder?
Character Customization + Roguelike Deckbuilder
Only 13 developers shipped a Character Customization Roguelike Deckbuilder in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Overlooting, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.5k, ×7.2 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×671 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 19 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.7k (exactly $1,679) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.5k (exactly $4,496) |
| Top 25% | $50k (exactly $50,366) |
| Top 5% | $421k (exactly $421,078) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 25 |
| Announced | 19 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Character Customization
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Roguelike Deckbuilder
- effort 3 / 10 · high · deckbuilding rules plus procedural runs
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Character Customization, Roguelike Deckbuilder; all of the top 25% also carry Deckbuilding, Roguelite, Strategy
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 2,163 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Character Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Football (American)Strong odds
- + Real-TimeStrong odds
- + Music-Based Procedural GenerationFair
- + TransportationFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + DwarvesFair
- + BikesFair
- + IdlerFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + TypingFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Overlooting | $9.99 | 1,405 81% | 42k | $421k (exactly $421,078) | Posing Possums | |
| | Mech Armada | older | $19.99 | 653 81% | 20k | $392k (exactly $391,604) | Lioncode Games |
| | Erannorth Reborn | older | $17.99 | 386 84% | 12k | $208k (exactly $208,324) | Spyridon Thalassinos |
| | Breach Wanderers | older | $14.99 | 381 87% | 11k | $171k (exactly $171,336) | Baronnerie Games |
| | DOG WITCH | $9.99 | 323 89% | 9.7k | $97k (exactly $96,803) | Heckmouse | |
| | Golden Swirl | $19.99 | 149 92% | 4.5k | $89k (exactly $89,355) | Snako Production | |
| | Battle Bands: Rock & Roll Deckbuilder | older | $14.99 | 170 90% | 5.1k | $76k (exactly $76,449) | Aerie Digital |
| | Souls of White Star | · EA older | $14.99 | 142 83% | 4.3k | $64k (exactly $63,857) | Souls of Star Game Lab. |
| | Takara Cards | $14.99 | 112 83% | 3.4k | $50k (exactly $50,366) | Post Mortem Pixels | |
| | Claymores of the Lost Kingdom | $9.99 | 83 67% | 2.5k | $25k (exactly $24,875) | Ultaan Games | |
| | Sigilfarer: A Dice-Rolling Roguelite | $11.99 | 33 72% | 990 | $12k (exactly $11,870) | Viabo Games | |
| | Rogue Citadel | $9.99 | 15 86% | 450 | $4.5k (exactly $4,496) | MalumGames | |
| | Ancient Guardians: The Dragon | $5.99 | 23 82% | 690 | $4.1k (exactly $4,133) | Luphix | |
| | SOLARFLARE | $4.00 | 16 100% | 480 | $1.9k (exactly $1,920) | Swarmforge | |
| | MegaBattle | $13.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $1.7k (exactly $1,679) | MadCat Corp, Cavylabs |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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