Do I ship it?

GamesCharacter CustomizationCharacter Customization + Roguelike Deckbuilder

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Character Customization Roguelike Deckbuilder?

Character Customization + Roguelike Deckbuilder

Only 13 developers shipped a Character Customization Roguelike Deckbuilder in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Overlooting, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.5k, ×7.2 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×671 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 19 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 19 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Character Customization + Roguelike Deckbuilder
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Character Customization + Roguelike Deckbuilder: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $1.7k (exactly $1,679)
Median $4.5k (exactly $4,496)
Top 25% $50k (exactly $50,366)
Top 5% $421k (exactly $421,078)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 25
Announced 19
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Character Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Roguelike Deckbuilder
effort 3 / 10 · high · deckbuilding rules plus procedural runs

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Character Customization, Roguelike Deckbuilder; all of the top 25% also carry Deckbuilding, Roguelite, Strategy
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 2,163 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.7k, median $4.5k, 1 in 4 over $50k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Character Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds14 devs · median $3.6k · 12 announced
  2. + Real-TimeStrong odds7 devs · median $2.0k · 6 announced
  3. + Music-Based Procedural GenerationFair10 devs · median $18k · 8 announced
  4. + TransportationFair19 devs · median $7.2k · 24 announced
  5. + MinigamesFair27 devs · median $5.7k · 34 announced
  6. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $3.2k · 13 announced
  7. + BikesFair11 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  8. + IdlerFair210 devs · median $1.2k · 286 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair146 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  10. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $836 · 32 announced
  11. + Precision PlatformerFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  12. + TypingFair27 devs · median $539 · 38 announced

All 250 pairs on the Character Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Overlooting $9.99 1,405 81% 42k $421k (exactly $421,078) Posing Possums
Mech Armada older $19.99 653 81% 20k $392k (exactly $391,604) Lioncode Games
Erannorth Reborn older $17.99 386 84% 12k $208k (exactly $208,324) Spyridon Thalassinos
Breach Wanderers older $14.99 381 87% 11k $171k (exactly $171,336) Baronnerie Games
DOG WITCH $9.99 323 89% 9.7k $97k (exactly $96,803) Heckmouse
Golden Swirl $19.99 149 92% 4.5k $89k (exactly $89,355) Snako Production
Battle Bands: Rock & Roll Deckbuilder older $14.99 170 90% 5.1k $76k (exactly $76,449) Aerie Digital
Souls of White Star · EA older $14.99 142 83% 4.3k $64k (exactly $63,857) Souls of Star Game Lab.
Takara Cards $14.99 112 83% 3.4k $50k (exactly $50,366) Post Mortem Pixels
Claymores of the Lost Kingdom $9.99 83 67% 2.5k $25k (exactly $24,875) Ultaan Games
Sigilfarer: A Dice-Rolling Roguelite $11.99 33 72% 990 $12k (exactly $11,870) Viabo Games
Rogue Citadel $9.99 15 86% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) MalumGames
Ancient Guardians: The Dragon $5.99 23 82% 690 $4.1k (exactly $4,133) Luphix
SOLARFLARE $4.00 16 100% 480 $1.9k (exactly $1,920) Swarmforge
MegaBattle $13.99 4 100% 120 $1.7k (exactly $1,679) MadCat Corp, Cavylabs

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.