Do I ship it?

GamesManagementManagement + Roguelike Deckbuilder

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roguelike Deckbuilder Management game?

Management + Roguelike Deckbuilder

Of 42 developers who shipped a Roguelike Deckbuilder Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 63 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $12k, ×19 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $3.6k; 1 in 20 cleared $280k, ×453 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 63 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 18.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 63 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Management + Roguelike Deckbuilder
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 42
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.8k → $137k → $49k → $73k → $9.7k (still earning) → $3.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Management + Roguelike Deckbuilder: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 42
Bottom 30% $3.6k (exactly $3,565)
Median $12k (exactly $11,680)
Top 25% $104k (exactly $104,011)
Top 5% $284k (exactly $284,462)
Developers, 2 yr 42
Released games 57
Announced 63
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Management
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Roguelike Deckbuilder
effort 3 / 10 · high · deckbuilding rules plus procedural runs

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Management, Roguelike Deckbuilder; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Deckbuilding, Roguelike
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.49 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.49 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 5,602 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.6k, median $12k, 1 in 4 over $100k, 1 in 20 over $280k.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.6k. 4 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 63 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Management with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair21 devs · median $64k · 23 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair195 devs · median $17k · 225 announced
  3. + WesternFair18 devs · median $13k · 22 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair114 devs · median $12k · 154 announced
  5. + JRPGFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  6. + MinigamesFair22 devs · median $7.4k · 15 announced
  7. + RhythmFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 24 announced
  8. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $5.0k · 54 announced
  9. + CollectathonFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  10. + DwarvesFair13 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  11. + 3D FighterFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  12. + IncrementalFair611 devs · median $1.9k · 893 announced

All 214 pairs on the Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Luck be a Landlord older $9.99 10,213 93% 306k $3.1M (exactly $3,060,836) TrampolineTales
Banners of Ruin older $19.99 2,298 79% 69k $1.4M (exactly $1,378,111) MonteBearo
Cardboard Town older $19.99 2,051 79% 62k $1.2M (exactly $1,229,985) Stratera Games, cukuto
Tower Tactics: Liberation older $19.99 1,224 88% 37k $734k (exactly $734,033) asraworks
Cat God Ranch older $9.99 1,831 92% 55k $549k (exactly $548,751) CrazyPotato Studio
Combolands: Roguelike Citybuilder $9.99 1,244 97% 37k $373k (exactly $372,827) Crux Games
Aotenjo: Infinite Hands · EA $9.99 958 87% 29k $287k (exactly $287,113) XO Cat
Rogue Voltage $15.99 593 92% 18k $284k (exactly $284,462) Horizont Computergrafik
Turnbound $14.99 446 78% 13k $201k (exactly $200,566) 1TK
Terracards · EA older $8.99 733 84% 22k $198k (exactly $197,690) Pixel Purrfect
Cropdeck $12.99 430 92% 13k $168k (exactly $167,571) Piotrek
Rogue Hex $19.99 260 89% 7.8k $156k (exactly $155,922) Topstitch Games
Kingdom's Deck $9.99 495 72% 15k $148k (exactly $148,352) Ivan Aco
Spin Hero $7.99 573 73% 17k $137k (exactly $137,348) Sphere Studios
Frostrain 2 $10.99 374 89% 11k $123k (exactly $123,308) nemonan
BLOODLETTER $15.49 229 79% 6.9k $106k (exactly $106,416) ALDAMAMI GAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.