Do I ship it?

GamesMultiple EndingsMultiple Endings + Roguelike Deckbuilder

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Roguelike Deckbuilder?

Multiple Endings + Roguelike Deckbuilder

Only 14 developers shipped a Multiple Endings Roguelike Deckbuilder in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Witch's Apocalyptic Journey, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $40k, ×85 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $340k, ×728 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 25 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 84.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 25 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Roguelike Deckbuilder
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $151k → $1.3k (still earning) → $1.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Roguelike Deckbuilder: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $1.3k (exactly $1,319)
Median $40k (exactly $40,223)
Top 25% $72k (exactly $71,717)
Top 5% $346k (exactly $345,755)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 30
Announced 25
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $10.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 150% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Roguelike Deckbuilder
effort 3 / 10 · high · deckbuilding rules plus procedural runs

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Multiple Endings, Roguelike Deckbuilder; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Card Game, Strategy, Deckbuilding
Price point
$10.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $10.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 2,644 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.4k, median $40k, 1 in 4 over $71k, 1 in 20 over $340k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.4k. 25 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Griftlands older $19.99 13,440 93% 403k $8.1M (exactly $8,059,968) Klei Entertainment
Take Me To The Dungeon!! older $10.99 3,895 93% 117k $1.3M (exactly $1,284,182) Hanabi Fuusen
Witch's Apocalyptic Journey $8.99 1,282 84% 38k $346k (exactly $345,755) MeowAlive
Choice of Life: Middle Ages older $4.99 1,752 89% 53k $262k (exactly $262,274) Blazing Planet Studio
Phantom Rose 2 Sapphire older $19.99 343 91% 10k $206k (exactly $205,697) makaroll
Choice of Life: Middle Ages 2 older $6.99 935 94% 28k $196k (exactly $196,070) Blazing Planet Studio
Draft of Darkness older $14.99 336 94% 10k $151k (exactly $151,099) Crawly Games
我的人生 $6.99 496 65% 15k $104k (exactly $104,011) ZZ Games
Golden Swirl $19.99 149 92% 4.5k $89k (exactly $89,355) Snako Production
Choice of Life: Wild Islands $6.99 342 92% 10k $72k (exactly $71,717) Blazing Planet Studio
Takara Cards $14.99 112 83% 3.4k $50k (exactly $50,366) Post Mortem Pixels
Voice of Belldona · EA $11.99 117 72% 3.5k $42k (exactly $42,085) StoryCropStudio
Isekai Big Dick $10.99 122 87% 3.7k $40k (exactly $40,223) Hippo Games
Cult Leader Simulator $17.99 16 50% 480 $8.6k (exactly $8,635) Nhneno
MegaBattle $13.99 4 100% 120 $1.7k (exactly $1,679) MadCat Corp, Cavylabs
The Cascadier · EA $10.99 4 75% 120 $1.3k (exactly $1,319) Enchanted Arcade

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.