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Should I ship a Roguelike Deckbuilder Bullet Hell?
Bullet Hell + Roguelike Deckbuilder
Only 19 developers shipped a Roguelike Deckbuilder Bullet Hell in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, SealChain: Call of Blood, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×6.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $140k, ×305 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 25 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.5k (exactly $1,497) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.0k (exactly $2,994) |
| Top 25% | $11k (exactly $11,252) |
| Top 5% | $145k (exactly $144,829) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 19 |
| Released games | 32 |
| Announced | 25 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $5.00 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Bullet Hell
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Roguelike Deckbuilder
- effort 3 / 10 · high · deckbuilding rules plus procedural runs
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Bullet Hell, Roguelike Deckbuilder; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Action, Deckbuilding
- Price point
- $5.00 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.00.
The top 10 games average 69% positive over 1,199 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Bullet Hell with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SuperheroStrong odds
- + FaithFair
- + VampiresFair
- + Creature CollectorFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + PiratesFair
- + CatsFair
- + HackingFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + Card BattlerFair
- + DemonsFair
- + Naval CombatFair
Comparable games
Heretic's Fork 2023 · $928k 
SealChain: Call of Blood 2026 · $145k 
Seraph's Last Stand 2022 · $119k 
Godslayer Arena 2025 · EA · $116k 
Towerful Defense: A Rogue TD 2024 · $63k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Heretic's Fork | older | $9.99 | 3,097 85% | 93k | $928k (exactly $928,171) | 9FingerGames |
| | SealChain: Call of Blood | $8.99 | 537 56% | 16k | $145k (exactly $144,829) | AliveGameStudio | |
| | Seraph's Last Stand | older | $0.99 | 4,010 93% | 120k | $119k (exactly $119,097) | Sad Socket |
| | Godslayer Arena | · EA | $14.99 | 257 76% | 7.7k | $116k (exactly $115,573) | Hippo Rider Games |
| | Towerful Defense: A Rogue TD | older | $9.99 | 209 70% | 6.3k | $63k (exactly $62,637) | Mini Fun Games |
 | Hero of Fate | older | $2.99 | 495 78% | 15k | $44k (exactly $44,402) | Planescape Game Studio |
 | Bees vs Zombees | $7.99 | 89 92% | 2.7k | $21k (exactly $21,333) | DeadPixel | |
 | Moon Watch | · EA | $9.99 | 56 57% | 1.7k | $17k (exactly $16,783) | Jaspel |
 | outpost4 | $3.99 | 94 72% | 2.8k | $11k (exactly $11,252) | BananaDogGames | |
 | Neon Ascending | $3.99 | 90 82% | 2.7k | $11k (exactly $10,773) | TheCarmineDepth | |
 | Rogue Citadel | $9.99 | 15 86% | 450 | $4.5k (exactly $4,496) | MalumGames | |
 | Hex Blast | $4.99 | 30 100% | 900 | $4.5k (exactly $4,491) | Soy Boy Games | |
 | LYMBUS | $9.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $3.3k (exactly $3,297) | Happy Accident Studios | |
 | Dice Gun Commando | $4.99 | 20 100% | 600 | $3.0k (exactly $2,994) | Loonicy Entertainment |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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