Do I ship it?

GamesAuto BattlerAuto Battler + Roguelike Deckbuilder

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roguelike Deckbuilder Auto Battler?

Auto Battler + Roguelike Deckbuilder

Of 69 developers who shipped a Roguelike Deckbuilder Auto Battler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 96 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $20k, ×41 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.8k; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×886 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 96 games are announced against 43 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 41.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 96 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Auto Battler + Roguelike Deckbuilder
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 69
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $87k → $152k → $16k → $63k → $116k → $56k → $2.7k (still earning) → $9.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Auto Battler + Roguelike Deckbuilder: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 69
Bottom 30% $2.7k (exactly $2,726)
Median $20k (exactly $19,611)
Top 25% $116k (exactly $115,573)
Top 5% $421k (exactly $421,078)
Developers, 2 yr 69
Released games 109
Announced 96
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $9.50

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Auto Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Roguelike Deckbuilder
effort 3 / 10 · high · deckbuilding rules plus procedural runs

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Auto Battler, Roguelike Deckbuilder; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Strategy, Deckbuilding
Price point
$9.50 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $9.50.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 32,832 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.8k, median $20k, 1 in 4 over $110k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.8k. 3 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 96 games are announced against 43 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Auto Battler with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $14k · 14 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonFair17 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  3. + AutomationFair112 devs · median $4.5k · 153 announced
  4. + Action RTSFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  5. + SimulationFair219 devs · median $2.5k · 293 announced
  6. + EconomyFair59 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced
  7. + SandboxFair45 devs · median $1.9k · 42 announced
  8. + CyberpunkFair20 devs · median $1.7k · 25 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair23 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  10. + CatsFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 14 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair78 devs · median $1.1k · 93 announced
  12. + SwordplayFair13 devs · median $1.1k · 8 announced

All 119 pairs on the Auto Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Backpack Battles $14.99 18,933 91% 568k $8.5M (exactly $8,514,170) PlayWithFurcifer
Super Fantasy Kingdom · EA $19.99 5,630 86% 169k $3.4M (exactly $3,376,311) Super Fantasy Games
Luck be a Landlord older $9.99 10,213 93% 306k $3.1M (exactly $3,060,836) TrampolineTales
Meme Mayhem older $16.99 4,849 74% 145k $2.5M (exactly $2,471,535) Cr3 Studio
Hadean Tactics older $19.99 1,725 89% 52k $1.0M (exactly $1,034,482) Emberfish Games
Commander Quest $11.99 2,804 74% 84k $1.0M (exactly $1,008,599) Flyway Games, Inc.
Heretic's Fork older $9.99 3,097 85% 93k $928k (exactly $928,171) 9FingerGames
Vivid Knight older $14.99 1,635 89% 49k $735k (exactly $735,260) Asobism.Co.,Ltd
Cat God Ranch older $9.99 1,831 92% 55k $549k (exactly $548,751) CrazyPotato Studio
Overlooting $9.99 1,405 81% 42k $421k (exactly $421,078) Posing Possums
Cubic Cosmos $12.99 941 92% 28k $367k (exactly $366,708) Inkstone Atelier
Vivid World $19.99 591 88% 18k $354k (exactly $354,423) Asobism.Co.,Ltd
Shadowveil: Legend of The Five Rings $24.99 469 74% 14k $352k (exactly $351,609) Palindrome Interactive
Epic Auto Towers · EA $14.99 768 70% 23k $345k (exactly $345,370) Aleksandr Golovkin
Cursed Words: The Word Game That Isn't $14.99 698 95% 21k $314k (exactly $313,891) Buried Things
Rogue Voltage $15.99 593 92% 18k $284k (exactly $284,462) Horizont Computergrafik

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.