Do I ship it?

Games › Roguelike Deckbuilder › Roguelike Deckbuilder + Solitaire

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Solitaire Roguelike Deckbuilder?

Roguelike Deckbuilder + Solitaire

Of 21 developers who shipped a Solitaire Roguelike Deckbuilder in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.1k, ×6.6 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $240k, ×520 the market median. Revenue is up 65% on the market; 29 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 65% on the market, 29 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Roguelike Deckbuilder + Solitaire
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.4k → $3.8k → $4.8k → $3.8k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Roguelike Deckbuilder + Solitaire: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Top 25% $4.0k (exactly $4,042)
Top 5% $247k (exactly $246,885)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 35
Announced 29
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 65% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Roguelike Deckbuilder
effort 3 / 10 · high · deckbuilding rules plus procedural runs
Solitaire
effort 1 / 10 · high · fixed rules, cards and a table

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Roguelike Deckbuilder, Solitaire; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Deckbuilding, Strategy, Card Game
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, 2D, Cartoony
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 2,257 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $3.1k, 1 in 4 over $4.0k, 1 in 20 over $240k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 7 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Roguelike Deckbuilder with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + PhysicsStrong odds31 devs · median $8.1k · 30 announced
  2. + Inventory ManagementFair43 devs · median $12k · 47 announced
  3. + DiceFair36 devs · median $9.6k · 53 announced
  4. + Tactical RPGFair24 devs · median $9.0k · 29 announced
  5. + Perma DeathFair65 devs · median $8.1k · 66 announced
  6. + ExplorationFair22 devs · median $8.1k · 26 announced
  7. + Female ProtagonistFair35 devs · median $7.8k · 50 announced
  8. + MythologyFair22 devs · median $6.9k · 25 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair59 devs · median $4.3k · 88 announced
  10. + PuzzleFair40 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  11. + CyberpunkLong shot17 devs · median $179 · 20 announced
  12. + PvPPoor odds17 devs · median $56k · 42 announced

All 60 pairs on the Roguelike Deckbuilder page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Dice & Fold 2024 · $1.4M Cardboard Town 2023 · $1.2M Rana Card 2025 · $461k Zoominoes 2026 · $247k Dice Player One 2024 · $205k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dice & Fold older $12.99 3,491 83% 105k $1.4M (exactly $1,360,443) Tinymice Entertainment
Cardboard Town older $19.99 2,051 79% 62k $1.2M (exactly $1,229,985) Stratera Games, cukuto
Rana Card $12.99 1,183 89% 35k $461k (exactly $461,015) VisionRana
Zoominoes $14.99 549 91% 16k $247k (exactly $246,885) Starlight Games inc.
Dice Player One older $14.99 456 90% 14k $205k (exactly $205,063) KDream
Solitairica older $9.99 436 78% 13k $131k (exactly $130,669) Righteous Hammer Games
Roll older $4.99 407 91% 12k $61k (exactly $60,928) Joseph Distler
Merge Maestro $3.99 384 93% 12k $46k (exactly $45,965) Stingless
Frost older $6.99 129 87% 3.9k $27k (exactly $27,051) Jérôme Bodin
Decks & Daggers older $12.99 50 72% 1.5k $19k (exactly $19,485) Osarion
Happy Poker $4.99 36 80% 1.1k $5.4k (exactly $5,389) VGameX
Negative Space $7.99 20 100% 600 $4.8k (exactly $4,794) Tier 87 Games
Solitaire Battle $4.99 27 96% 810 $4.0k (exactly $4,042) diabolodev
Sweep $6.99 18 77% 540 $3.8k (exactly $3,775) On.Production
Wrangle Ranch $5.99 21 95% 630 $3.8k (exactly $3,774) BenBonk, XraiDev
Deckbane $9.99 12 66% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Soong
Kemotaku $15.99 7 100% 210 $3.4k (exactly $3,358) Kojika Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.