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Should I ship a Roguelike Deckbuilder Adventure game?
Adventure + Roguelike Deckbuilder
Of 59 developers who shipped a Roguelike Deckbuilder Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 77 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $13k, ×27 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $4.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $780k, ×1643 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 77 games are announced against 37 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $4.1k (exactly $4,133) |
|---|---|
| Median | $13k (exactly $12,590) |
| Top 25% | $68k (exactly $68,377) |
| Top 5% | $780k (exactly $780,210) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 59 |
| Released games | 139 |
| Announced | 77 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $11.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Adventure
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Roguelike Deckbuilder
- effort 3 / 10 · high · deckbuilding rules plus procedural runs
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Adventure, Roguelike Deckbuilder; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Deckbuilding, Roguelite, Strategy
- Price point
- $11.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 9,834 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $4.2k. 5 in 10 of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 77 games are announced against 37 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SamuraiFair
- + FMVFair
- + PinballFair
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + SportsFair
- + GolfFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + Time AttackFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
Comparable games
Chrono Ark 2024 · $9.5M 
Across the Obelisk 2022 · $6.4M 
Book of Demons 2018 · $6.0M 
Hand of Fate 2015 · $4.8M 
Gordian Quest 2022 · $3.2M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Chrono Ark | older | $24.99 | 12,623 90% | 379k | $9.5M (exactly $9,463,463) | Al Fine |
| | Across the Obelisk | older | $19.99 | 10,689 80% | 321k | $6.4M (exactly $6,410,193) | Dreamsite Games |
| | Book of Demons | older | $24.99 | 8,010 91% | 240k | $6.0M (exactly $6,005,097) | Thing Trunk |
| | Hand of Fate | older | $19.99 | 8,009 89% | 240k | $4.8M (exactly $4,802,997) | Defiant Development |
| | Gordian Quest | older | $19.99 | 5,259 88% | 158k | $3.2M (exactly $3,153,822) | Mixed Realms Pte Ltd, Swag Soft Holding… (Mixed Realms Pte Ltd, Swag Soft Holdings Pte Ltd) |
 | Roguebook | older | $24.99 | 3,446 84% | 103k | $2.6M (exactly $2,583,466) | Abrakam Entertainment SA |
 | Vault of the Void | older | $17.99 | 2,529 92% | 76k | $1.4M (exactly $1,364,901) | Spider Nest Games |
 | Take Me To The Dungeon!! | older | $10.99 | 3,895 93% | 117k | $1.3M (exactly $1,284,182) | Hanabi Fuusen |
 | Overdungeon | older | $14.99 | 2,854 79% | 86k | $1.3M (exactly $1,283,444) | Pocketpair |
 | Menace from the Deep | $16.99 | 2,466 84% | 74k | $1.3M (exactly $1,256,920) | Flat Lab | |
 | Black Jacket | $14.99 | 1,751 91% | 53k | $787k (exactly $787,425) | Mi'pu'mi Games GmbH | |
 | Death Howl | $19.99 | 1,301 92% | 39k | $780k (exactly $780,210) | The Outer Zone | |
 | Dream of Corpse Lady | $9.99 | 2,115 93% | 63k | $634k (exactly $633,866) | HT3 Studio | |
 | Shadowveil: Legend of The Five Rings | $24.99 | 469 74% | 14k | $352k (exactly $351,609) | Palindrome Interactive | |
 | Railroads & Catacombs | $19.99 | 358 73% | 11k | $215k (exactly $214,693) | MadRails | |
 | Three Kingdoms: The Blood Moon | $8.99 | 746 91% | 22k | $201k (exactly $201,196) | Kygua Tech | |
 | Hunter's Moon: A Sovereign Syndicate Adventure | $19.99 | 205 83% | 6.2k | $123k (exactly $122,938) | Crimson Herring Studios | |
 | Wander Stars | $24.99 | 148 92% | 4.4k | $111k (exactly $110,956) | Paper Castle Games | |
 | Die For The Lich | · EA | $11.99 | 275 78% | 8.3k | $99k (exactly $98,918) | Monovoid |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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