Do I ship it?

GamesRoguelike DeckbuilderRoguelike Deckbuilder + Score Attack

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roguelike Deckbuilder Score Attack game?

Roguelike Deckbuilder + Score Attack

Of 39 developers who shipped a Roguelike Deckbuilder Score Attack game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 53 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.0k, ×8.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $630; 1 in 20 cleared $310k, ×661 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 53 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 8.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 53 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Roguelike Deckbuilder + Score Attack
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 39
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $12k → $3.8k (still earning) → $4.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Roguelike Deckbuilder + Score Attack: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 39
Bottom 30% $629 (exactly $629)
Median $4.0k (exactly $3,957)
Top 25% $44k (exactly $44,180)
Top 5% $314k (exactly $313,891)
Developers, 2 yr 39
Released games 53
Announced 53
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 580% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Roguelike Deckbuilder
effort 3 / 10 · high · deckbuilding rules plus procedural runs
Score Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Roguelike Deckbuilder, Score Attack; all of the top 25% also carry Deckbuilding, Roguelike, Strategy
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Difficult
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 5,039 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $630, median $4.0k, 1 in 4 over $44k, 1 in 20 over $310k.

3 in 10 developers made under $630. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 53 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Roguelike Deckbuilder with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + PhysicsStrong odds31 devs · median $8.1k · 30 announced
  2. + Inventory ManagementFair43 devs · median $12k · 47 announced
  3. + DiceFair36 devs · median $9.6k · 53 announced
  4. + Tactical RPGFair24 devs · median $9.0k · 29 announced
  5. + Perma DeathFair65 devs · median $8.1k · 66 announced
  6. + ExplorationFair22 devs · median $8.1k · 26 announced
  7. + Female ProtagonistFair35 devs · median $7.8k · 50 announced
  8. + MythologyFair22 devs · median $6.9k · 25 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair59 devs · median $4.3k · 88 announced
  10. + PuzzleFair40 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  11. + CyberpunkLong shot17 devs · median $179 · 20 announced
  12. + PvPPoor odds17 devs · median $56k · 42 announced

All 60 pairs on the Roguelike Deckbuilder page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Omelet You Cook $14.99 1,523 97% 46k $685k (exactly $684,893) Dan Schumacher, Hjalte Tagmose
Cursed Words: The Word Game That Isn't $14.99 698 95% 21k $314k (exactly $313,891) Buried Things
Bingle Bingle $14.99 666 80% 20k $300k (exactly $299,500) Knitting Games
Kinny and the Cosmic Cauldron $12.99 563 85% 17k $219k (exactly $219,401) Kinnymoms
Dice Player One older $14.99 456 90% 14k $205k (exactly $205,063) KDream
Feed the Scorchpot $14.99 371 87% 11k $167k (exactly $166,839) Moravian
Goblin Sushi · EA $9.99 404 89% 12k $121k (exactly $121,079) Old Cake Factory
Seraph's Last Stand older $0.99 4,010 93% 120k $119k (exactly $119,097) Sad Socket
The Loopler $9.99 349 90% 10k $105k (exactly $104,595) Mheep
Cult of PiN $14.99 184 77% 5.5k $83k (exactly $82,745) KennyMakesGames
Lucky Shot $12.99 147 97% 4.4k $57k (exactly $57,286) Deliver Games
Pip My Dice $10.99 134 87% 4.0k $44k (exactly $44,180) Diving Swan Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.