Do I ship it?

GamesClass-BasedClass-Based + Roguelike Deckbuilder

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roguelike Deckbuilder Class-Based game?

Class-Based + Roguelike Deckbuilder

Only 14 developers shipped a Roguelike Deckbuilder Class-Based game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Shadowveil: Legend of The Five Rings, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×6.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $7.3k against a market of $1.5k. 25 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 4.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 25 announced, ×6.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Class-Based + Roguelike Deckbuilder
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.3k → $446k → $82k → $7.3k
Outcomes for Class-Based + Roguelike Deckbuilder: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $1.7k (exactly $1,679)
Median $7.3k (exactly $7,253)
Top 25% $137k (exactly $137,348)
Top 5% $352k (exactly $351,609)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 29
Announced 25
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $12.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Class-Based
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Roguelike Deckbuilder
effort 3 / 10 · high · deckbuilding rules plus procedural runs

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Class-Based, Roguelike Deckbuilder; all of the top 25% also carry Card Game, Choices Matter, Roguelite
Price point
$12.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $12.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 2,190 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.7k, median $7.3k, 1 in 4 over $130k, 1 in 20 over $350k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 6 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Class-Based with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationFair19 devs · median $6.6k · 22 announced
  2. + Bullet HeavenFair21 devs · median $2.4k · 38 announced
  3. + SupernaturalLong shot18 devs · median $599 · 21 announced
  4. + 2D PlatformerLong shot26 devs · median $539 · 30 announced
  5. + FPSPoor odds22 devs · median $70k · 70 announced
  6. + MMORPGPoor odds7 devs · median $61k · 57 announced
  7. + Base BuildingPoor odds18 devs · median $33k · 44 announced
  8. + WarPoor odds17 devs · median $32k · 59 announced
  9. + Souls-likePoor odds16 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  10. + MilitaryPoor odds17 devs · median $13k · 42 announced
  11. + Third-Person ShooterPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  12. + WargamePoor odds14 devs · median $9.4k · 28 announced

All 111 pairs on the Class-Based page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dice & Fold older $12.99 3,491 83% 105k $1.4M (exactly $1,360,443) Tinymice Entertainment
RUNGORE older $14.99 991 85% 30k $446k (exactly $445,653) YOUR_MOM'S_HP, RavenJm
Shadowveil: Legend of The Five Rings $24.99 469 74% 14k $352k (exactly $351,609) Palindrome Interactive
Cube Chaos $11.99 621 95% 19k $223k (exactly $223,374) Wunarg
Monster Slayers older $8.99 804 79% 24k $217k (exactly $216,839) Nerdook Productions
Dawncaster | The RPG Cardventure $19.99 274 81% 8.2k $164k (exactly $164,318) Wanderlost Interactive
Spin Hero $7.99 573 73% 17k $137k (exactly $137,348) Sphere Studios
Power Chord older $19.99 170 71% 5.1k $102k (exactly $101,949) Big Blue Bubble
Witch and Council : The Card $14.99 182 48% 5.5k $82k (exactly $81,845) G1 Playground
Metroplex Zero: Sci-Fi Card Battler older $19.99 90 96% 2.7k $54k (exactly $53,973) Enigma Dragons LLC
Card Artisan $12.99 36 91% 1.1k $14k (exactly $14,029) Fullen Games
Seekers of Eclipse $10.99 22 86% 660 $7.3k (exactly $7,253) ThinKING Cat Games
KindFolx $14.99 5 80% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) Tristan Barona
MegaBattle $13.99 4 100% 120 $1.7k (exactly $1,679) MadCat Corp, Cavylabs
Blessed To Die · EA $13.99 4 100% 120 $1.7k (exactly $1,679) Frame Forge Studios LLC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.