Do I ship it?

GamesResource ManagementResource Management + Roguelike Deckbuilder

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roguelike Deckbuilder Resource Management game?

Resource Management + Roguelike Deckbuilder

Of 44 developers who shipped a Roguelike Deckbuilder Resource Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 79 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $27k, ×58 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $9.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $220k, ×470 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 79 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 57.8 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 79 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Resource Management + Roguelike Deckbuilder
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 44
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $152k → $41k → $49k → $77k → $26k (still earning) → $3.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Resource Management + Roguelike Deckbuilder: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 44
Bottom 30% $9.4k (exactly $9,444)
Median $27k (exactly $27,432)
Top 25% $71k (exactly $70,848)
Top 5% $223k (exactly $223,374)
Developers, 2 yr 44
Released games 62
Announced 79
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Resource Management
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Roguelike Deckbuilder
effort 3 / 10 · high · deckbuilding rules plus procedural runs

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Resource Management, Roguelike Deckbuilder; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Strategy, Deckbuilding
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 7,842 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $9.5k, median $27k, 1 in 4 over $70k, 1 in 20 over $220k.

3 in 10 developers made under $9.5k. 3 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 79 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Resource Management with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Artificial IntelligenceFair102 devs · median $11k · 131 announced
  2. + DwarvesFair15 devs · median $11k · 24 announced
  3. + WesternFair19 devs · median $7.0k · 26 announced
  4. + SnowFair24 devs · median $3.8k · 36 announced
  5. + JRPGFair36 devs · median $2.7k · 27 announced
  6. + UnderwaterFair51 devs · median $2.3k · 74 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair167 devs · median $1.9k · 222 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair630 devs · median $1.8k · 1,025 announced
  9. + IdlerFair656 devs · median $1.6k · 979 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair322 devs · median $1.5k · 495 announced
  11. + HorsesFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 18 announced
  12. + Quick-Time EventsFair46 devs · median $719 · 55 announced

All 214 pairs on the Resource Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Luck be a Landlord older $9.99 10,213 93% 306k $3.1M (exactly $3,060,836) TrampolineTales
Emberward $19.99 3,775 96% 113k $2.3M (exactly $2,263,868) Refic Games
Cardboard Town older $19.99 2,051 79% 62k $1.2M (exactly $1,229,985) Stratera Games, cukuto
Cat God Ranch older $9.99 1,831 92% 55k $549k (exactly $548,751) CrazyPotato Studio
Aotenjo: Infinite Hands · EA $9.99 958 87% 29k $287k (exactly $287,113) XO Cat
Cube Chaos $11.99 621 95% 19k $223k (exactly $223,374) Wunarg
Terracards · EA older $8.99 733 84% 22k $198k (exactly $197,690) Pixel Purrfect
Roots of Yggdrasil older $19.99 300 85% 9.0k $180k (exactly $179,910) ManaVoid Entertainment
Cropdeck $12.99 430 92% 13k $168k (exactly $167,571) Piotrek
Crop Rotation older $9.99 508 94% 15k $152k (exactly $152,248) Sprouting Potato
Kingdom's Deck $9.99 495 72% 15k $148k (exactly $148,352) Ivan Aco
Frostrain 2 $10.99 374 89% 11k $123k (exactly $123,308) nemonan
Goblin Sushi · EA $9.99 404 89% 12k $121k (exactly $121,079) Old Cake Factory
Another Farm Roguelike: Rebirth $6.99 433 69% 13k $91k (exactly $90,800) Zabbo Games
These Doomed Isles $14.99 180 66% 5.4k $81k (exactly $80,946) Triplevision Games Limited
Malys $14.99 172 79% 5.2k $77k (exactly $77,348) Summerfall Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.