Do I ship it?

Games › Mechanics › Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings game?

Multiple Endings

Of 3,688 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6,465 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×4.1 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $310k, ×662 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 6,465 games are announced against 2,216 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 6,465 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 3,688
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.7k → $4.5k → $5.1k → $3.6k → $3.1k → $2.2k → $1.5k (still earning) → $839 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 3,688
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,948)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $16,301)
Top 5% $314k (exactly $314,321)
Developers, 2 yr 3,688
Released games 10,377
Announced 6,465
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Multiple Endings
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $18.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 757,475 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $310k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 2,036 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 6,465 games are announced against 2,216 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Multiple Endings

149 pairs with a mechanicwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. FMV + Multiple Endings Strong odds $65k 128 devs
  2. Level Editor + Multiple Endings Fair $8.1k 17 devs
  3. Job Simulator + Multiple Endings Fair $5.8k 32 devs
  4. 4 Player Local + Multiple Endings Fair $3.6k 10 devs
  5. Multiple Endings + Escape Room Fair $2.2k 37 devs
  6. Multiple Endings + Gambling Fair $1.8k 30 devs
  7. Multiple Endings + Trivia Fair $1.7k 14 devs
  8. Multiple Endings + Score Attack Fair $599 40 devs
  9. Arcade + Multiple Endings Fair $598 176 devs
  10. Arena Shooter + Multiple Endings Fair $597 18 devs
  11. Automobile Sim + Multiple Endings Long shot $1.0k 14 devs
  12. Multiple Endings + Roguelike Deckbuilder Poor odds $40k 14 devs
  13. Souls-like + Multiple Endings Poor odds $20k 64 devs
  14. Multiple Endings + Rhythm Poor odds $14k 24 devs
  15. Multiple Endings + Dating Sim Poor odds $9.9k 658 devs
  16. Colony Sim + Multiple Endings Poor odds $8.2k 18 devs
  17. JRPG + Multiple Endings Poor odds $7.7k 234 devs
  18. City Builder + Multiple Endings Poor odds $7.0k 22 devs
  19. Metroidvania + Multiple Endings Poor odds $6.6k 81 devs
  20. Tactical RPG + Multiple Endings Poor odds $6.3k 70 devs
  21. Multiple Endings + Otome Poor odds $5.6k 108 devs
  22. Party-Based RPG + Multiple Endings Poor odds $5.5k 72 devs
  23. Cooking + Multiple Endings Poor odds $5.1k 43 devs
  24. Multiple Endings + Shop Keeper Poor odds $5.1k 42 devs
  25. RPG + Multiple Endings Poor odds $5.0k 1,096 devs
  26. Strategy RPG + Multiple Endings Poor odds $4.1k 139 devs
  27. Deckbuilding + Multiple Endings Poor odds $4.1k 62 devs
  28. Multiple Endings + Visual Novel Poor odds $4.0k 1,403 devs
  29. Immersive Sim + Multiple Endings Poor odds $4.0k 411 devs
  30. Life Sim + Multiple Endings Poor odds $3.9k 266 devs
  31. Turn-Based Combat + Multiple Endings Poor odds $3.9k 212 devs
  32. Swordplay + Multiple Endings Poor odds $3.6k 24 devs
  33. Time Manipulation + Multiple Endings Poor odds $3.6k 37 devs
  34. Trading + Multiple Endings Poor odds $3.5k 22 devs
  35. Simulation + Multiple Endings Poor odds $3.3k 1,094 devs
  36. Class-Based + Multiple Endings Poor odds $3.1k 27 devs
  37. Multiple Endings + Choose Your Own Adventure Poor odds $3.0k 954 devs
  38. Hack and Slash + Multiple Endings Poor odds $3.0k 57 devs
  39. Base Building + Multiple Endings Poor odds $3.0k 29 devs
  40. Online Co-Op + Multiple Endings Poor odds $2.9k 41 devs
  41. Turn-Based + Multiple Endings Poor odds $2.9k 11 devs
  42. Wargame + Multiple Endings Poor odds $2.9k 20 devs
  43. Choices Matter + Multiple Endings Poor odds $2.7k 1,787 devs
  44. Diplomacy + Multiple Endings Poor odds $2.7k 25 devs
  45. Multiple Endings + Interactive Fiction Poor odds $2.7k 922 devs
  46. Character Customization + Multiple Endings Poor odds $2.7k 155 devs
  47. CRPG + Multiple Endings Poor odds $2.7k 134 devs
  48. Sandbox + Multiple Endings Poor odds $2.7k 100 devs
  49. Adventure + Multiple Endings Poor odds $2.7k 2,164 devs
  50. Open World + Multiple Endings Poor odds $2.4k 168 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition 2015 · $1.2B Assassin's Creed® Odyssey 2018 · $310M Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition 2022 · $297M Detroit: Become Human 2020 · $272M Hollow Knight: Silksong 2025 · $232M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition older $49.99 823,357 96% 25M $1.2B (exactly $1,234,788,493) CD PROJEKT RED
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey older $59.99 172,149 89% 5.2M $310M (exactly $309,816,555) Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Bucharest, Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Kiev, Ubisoft Shanghai)
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition older $59.99 164,914 79% 4.9M $297M (exactly $296,795,726) Techland
Detroit: Become Human older $39.99 226,411 96% 6.8M $272M (exactly $271,625,277) Quantic Dream
Hollow Knight: Silksong $19.99 386,977 89% 12M $232M (exactly $232,070,107) Team Cherry
Hollow Knight older $14.99 502,960 96% 15M $226M (exactly $226,181,112) Team Cherry
S.T.A.L.K.E.R. 2: Heart of Chornobyl $59.99 106,592 81% 3.2M $192M (exactly $191,833,622) GSC Game World
Persona 5 Royal older $59.99 91,682 96% 2.8M $165M (exactly $165,000,095) ATLUS
Stellar Blade™ $59.99 61,289 93% 1.8M $110M (exactly $110,301,813) SHIFT UP Corporation
Lies of P older $59.99 58,411 91% 1.8M $105M (exactly $105,122,277) NEOWIZ
SILENT HILL 2 $69.99 43,367 94% 1.3M $91M (exactly $91,057,690) Bloober Team SA
Dragon Age™: The Veilguard $59.99 41,393 67% 1.2M $74M (exactly $74,494,982) BioWare
Tainted Grail: The Fall of Avalon $44.99 33,560 87% 1.0M $45M (exactly $45,295,932) Questline
DYNASTY WARRIORS: ORIGINS $69.99 19,578 92% 587k $41M (exactly $41,107,927) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
SILENT HILL f $69.99 19,061 80% 572k $40M (exactly $40,022,382) NeoBards Entertainment Ltd.
The Blood of Dawnwalker $69.99 15,789 86% 474k $33M (exactly $33,152,163) Rebel Wolves
Magical Girl Witch Trials $29.99 29,869 96% 896k $27M (exactly $26,873,139) Acacia, Re,AER

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.