Do I ship it?

GamesArena ShooterArena Shooter + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Arena Shooter?

Arena Shooter + Multiple Endings

Only 18 developers shipped a Multiple Endings Arena Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, GOSDOOMA, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $120. Revenue is up 140% on the market; 16 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 140% on the market, 16 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arena Shooter + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $300 → $2.4k → $449 → $178 → $1.1k → $120 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Arena Shooter + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $597 (exactly $597)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,169)
Top 5% $18k (exactly $18,434)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 40
Announced 16
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 140% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arena Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Arena Shooter, Multiple Endings; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Arcade
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Dark Humor
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 348 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $600, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $18k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arena Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + IncrementalFair15 devs · median $3.5k · 20 announced
  2. + DemonsFair54 devs · median $1.3k · 55 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  4. + CollectathonLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 13 announced
  5. + DeckbuildingPoor odds9 devs · median $3.1k · 26 announced
  6. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds75 devs · median $2.3k · 101 announced
  7. + Class-BasedPoor odds19 devs · median $2.2k · 50 announced
  8. + Boomer ShooterPoor odds133 devs · median $1.8k · 165 announced
  9. + Dark FantasyPoor odds59 devs · median $1.7k · 85 announced
  10. + On-Rails ShooterPoor odds10 devs · median $1.5k · 11 announced
  11. + RPGPoor odds88 devs · median $1.4k · 124 announced
  12. + DystopianPoor odds22 devs · median $1.4k · 70 announced

All 134 pairs on the Arena Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
GOSDOOMA · EA $3.99 154 86% 4.6k $18k (exactly $18,434) SHPATEL, Styrbo
hate.net $4.99 120 95% 3.6k $18k (exactly $17,964) bonitāka
COLD VR $19.99 28 60% 840 $17k (exactly $16,792) ALLWARE LLC
Sleep Tight older $9.99 21 85% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) BearfoxBear
Blackhole on the Road older $4.99 19 52% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) Atomic
Son of Scoregasm older $8.99 10 70% 300 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) R C Knight
Junkyard Fury Breakout older $9.99 8 87% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) Dhood Gaming
Veil of Shadows older $4.99 14 92% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Imponix Game Studio
DEMON SIEGE $2.99 16 100% 480 $1.4k (exactly $1,435) The Jank Factory
Deios I // Directors Cut older $6.99 6 83% 180 $1.3k (exactly $1,258) BARCHboi
Beyond The Space Wall $12.99 3 100% 90 $1.2k (exactly $1,169) Shader Mess
Amplexus Protocol $5.95 6 100% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,071) Nikraria
Extinction Rifts $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) QUByte Interactive
Line Defense $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) thesecondbaron
Lawnmower Game Battle 2: Reload $1.99 10 90% 300 $597 (exactly $597) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
Gauntlet $2.99 5 80% 150 $449 (exactly $449) extMag

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.