Do I ship it?

Games › Multiple Endings › Multiple Endings + Gambling

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Gambling game?

Multiple Endings + Gambling

Of 30 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Gambling game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×3.8 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $630. Revenue is up 625% on the market; 42 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 625% on the market, 42 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Gambling
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 30
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $628 → $2.5k → $1.6k (still earning) → $2.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Gambling: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 30
Bottom 30% $628 (exactly $628)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,797)
Top 25% $4.3k (exactly $4,320)
Top 5% $214k (exactly $214,335)
Developers, 2 yr 30
Released games 50
Announced 42
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 625% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Gambling
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Multiple Endings, Gambling; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Strategy, Resource Management
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Dark, 2D, Dark Humor
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 27,280 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $630, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $4.3k, 1 in 20 over $210k.

3 in 10 developers made under $630. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 42 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  9. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  11. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced
  12. + Automobile SimLong shot14 devs · median $1.0k · 12 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

CloverPit 2025 · $7.4M STONKS-9800: Stock Market Simulator 2023 · EA · $936k Big Winner 2025 · $214k SIDE EFFECTS 2025 · $128k Slots & Diapers 2026 · $113k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
CloverPit $9.99 24,710 90% 741k $7.4M (exactly $7,405,587) Panik Arcade
STONKS-9800: Stock Market Simulator · EA older $9.99 3,124 95% 94k $936k (exactly $936,263) TERNOX
Big Winner $12.99 550 82% 17k $214k (exactly $214,335) iFAction Studio
SIDE EFFECTS $4.99 858 83% 26k $128k (exactly $128,443) hirohun, Mr.Pootsley, Jaybooty, Lofar42
Slots & Diapers $6.99 539 88% 16k $113k (exactly $113,028) Parodie Games
Midnight Mahjong older $6.99 227 64% 6.8k $48k (exactly $47,602) AleCubicSoft
Unlucky Mummy $4.49 281 84% 8.4k $38k (exactly $37,851) Karaclan
Sinsations older $24.99 43 93% 1.3k $32k (exactly $32,237) Frigid Delights Studios LLC
Rich List: The Order · EA $14.99 70 90% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,479) YUANYE TECH
Usagi Health Club older $14.99 28 60% 840 $13k (exactly $12,592) PUSH! Soft
Pikabuu: STOP! $0.99 219 95% 6.6k $6.5k (exactly $6,504) JoyKeratif
Butter Side Down $6.00 24 100% 720 $4.3k (exactly $4,320) Kalle MacDonald, Lachlan MacDonald
Desperate Gambling · EA $10.99 13 84% 390 $4.3k (exactly $4,286) Gaetha
Scary Shadow Spot - All In $7.99 16 93% 480 $3.8k (exactly $3,835) Daniele Doesn't Matter

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.