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Should I ship a Multiple Endings Base Building game?
Base Building + Multiple Endings
Of 29 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Base Building game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 78 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×4.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $630; 1 in 20 cleared $2.9M, ×4728 the market median. Revenue is up 655% on the market; 78 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $628 (exactly $628) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.0k (exactly $2,967) |
| Top 25% | $43k (exactly $43,186) |
| Top 5% | $3.0M (exactly $2,969,115) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 29 |
| Released games | 82 |
| Announced | 78 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 655% on the market, supply 90% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Base Building
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Multiple Endings
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Base Building, Multiple Endings; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Resource Management, Simulation
- Price point
- $8.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cute, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 77% positive over 21,132 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $630. 9 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 78 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Base Building with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ProgrammingFair
- + DwarvesFair
- + Bullet HellFair
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
- + SailingPoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + TrainsPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + UndergroundPoor odds
- + MarsPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
Comparable games
Assassin's Creed Valhalla 2022 · $74M 
Quarantine Zone: The Last Check 2026 · $7.1M 
Last Train Home 2023 · $5.4M 
Yog-Sothoth’s Yard 2023 · $3.4M 
SpaceBourne 2 2025 · $3.0M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Assassin's Creed Valhalla | older | $59.99 | 41,083 70% | 1.2M | $74M (exactly $73,937,075) | Ubisoft Montreal |
| | Quarantine Zone: The Last Check | $19.99 | 11,827 81% | 355k | $7.1M (exactly $7,092,652) | Brigada Games | |
| | Last Train Home | older | $39.99 | 4,511 86% | 135k | $5.4M (exactly $5,411,847) | Ashborne Games |
| | Yog-Sothoth’s Yard | older | $10.99 | 10,207 93% | 306k | $3.4M (exactly $3,365,248) | Bone Nail |
| | SpaceBourne 2 | $19.99 | 4,951 75% | 149k | $3.0M (exactly $2,969,115) | Burak Dabak | |
 | Surviving Mars: Relaunched | $39.99 | 2,202 55% | 66k | $2.6M (exactly $2,641,739) | Haemimont Games | |
 | Genesis Alpha One Deluxe Edition | older | $19.99 | 1,566 73% | 47k | $939k (exactly $939,130) | Radiation Blue |
 | War Hospital | older | $29.99 | 1,006 60% | 30k | $905k (exactly $905,098) | Brave Lamb Studio S.A. |
 | Anvil Saga | older | $19.99 | 1,457 70% | 44k | $874k (exactly $873,763) | Pirozhok Studio |
 | War Room | older | $29.99 | 661 51% | 20k | $595k (exactly $594,702) | Binge Gaming OU, Wastelands Interactive |
 | Sector Unknown | $24.99 | 373 80% | 11k | $280k (exactly $279,638) | Creative Storm Entertainment | |
 | Harem in Another World | $14.99 | 431 94% | 13k | $194k (exactly $193,821) | Jong Games | |
 | Immoral-Bathhouse | $8.99 | 476 80% | 14k | $128k (exactly $128,377) | 奶油貓工作室, バター貓スタジオ | |
 | iDigging | $2.99 | 729 69% | 22k | $65k (exactly $65,391) | TWEN | |
 | Generation Exile | $29.99 | 48 66% | 1.4k | $43k (exactly $43,186) | Sonderlust Studios | |
 | Epoch Cycle | $8.99 | 79 68% | 2.4k | $21k (exactly $21,306) | GeometricUniverse | |
 | Holonoptic | $19.95 | 16 93% | 480 | $9.6k (exactly $9,576) | Glazial |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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