Do I ship it?

GamesMultiple EndingsMultiple Endings + Rhythm

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Rhythm game?

Multiple Endings + Rhythm

Of 24 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Rhythm game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 48 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $14k, ×30 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×284 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 48 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 29.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 48 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Rhythm
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.8k → $2.5k → $10k → $17k → $14k → $1.3k (still earning) → $86k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Rhythm: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $718 (exactly $718)
Median $14k (exactly $14,086)
Top 25% $35k (exactly $35,251)
Top 5% $135k (exactly $134,932)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 60
Announced 48
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $10.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 145% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Rhythm
effort 3 / 10 · medium · audio sync, timing precision and music rights

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Multiple Endings, Rhythm; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Choices Matter, Adventure, Simulation
Price point
$10.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $10.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 5,160 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $14k, 1 in 4 over $35k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 48 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Everhood older $9.99 11,436 95% 343k $3.4M (exactly $3,427,369) Chris Nordgren, Jordi Roca
Yunyun Syndrome!? Rhythm Psychosis $16.99 3,974 91% 119k $2.0M (exactly $2,025,548) Alliance Arts, WHO YOU
Symphonic Rain older $39.99 1,114 97% 33k $1.3M (exactly $1,336,466) KOGADO STUDIO
Rez Infinite older $24.99 1,166 91% 35k $874k (exactly $874,150) Monstars Inc., Resonair
A Highland Song older $17.99 553 87% 17k $298k (exactly $298,454) inkle Ltd
Keylocker | Turn Based Cyberpunk Action $19.99 225 84% 6.8k $135k (exactly $134,932) Moonana
Afterlove EP $19.99 184 90% 5.5k $110k (exactly $110,345) Pikselnesia
K-pop Idol Stories: Road to Debut $19.99 175 53% 5.3k $105k (exactly $104,947) Wisageni Studio
The Land Beneath Us older $14.99 230 79% 6.9k $103k (exactly $103,431) FairPlay Studios
Double Kick Heroes older $19.99 151 82% 4.5k $91k (exactly $90,555) Headbang Club
Sex-Pop Demon Hunters $12.99 220 89% 6.6k $86k (exactly $85,734) Sweet Buns Games
Lover's Enigma $11.99 98 87% 2.9k $35k (exactly $35,251) FallenCranberry Studio
Ultimate Drummer $5.99 170 98% 5.1k $31k (exactly $30,549) Cool 3D World
I Write Games Not Tragedies $12.99 47 100% 1.4k $18k (exactly $18,316) Studio Wife
Punk Juice $14.99 39 100% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,538) LEMON BOY
COLD VR $19.99 28 60% 840 $17k (exactly $16,792) ALLWARE LLC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.