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Should I ship a Multiple Endings Rhythm game?
Multiple Endings + Rhythm
Of 24 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Rhythm game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 48 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $14k, ×30 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×284 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 48 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $718 (exactly $718) |
|---|---|
| Median | $14k (exactly $14,086) |
| Top 25% | $35k (exactly $35,251) |
| Top 5% | $135k (exactly $134,932) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 24 |
| Released games | 60 |
| Announced | 48 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $10.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 145% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Multiple Endings
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Rhythm
- effort 3 / 10 · medium · audio sync, timing precision and music rights
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Multiple Endings, Rhythm; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Choices Matter, Adventure, Simulation
- Price point
- $10.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $10.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 5,160 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $720. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 48 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Multiple Endings with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + WuxiaFair
- + Level EditorFair
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + SuperheroFair
- + 4 Player LocalFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + GamblingFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + Arena ShooterFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Everhood | older | $9.99 | 11,436 95% | 343k | $3.4M (exactly $3,427,369) | Chris Nordgren, Jordi Roca |
| | Yunyun Syndrome!? Rhythm Psychosis | $16.99 | 3,974 91% | 119k | $2.0M (exactly $2,025,548) | Alliance Arts, WHO YOU | |
| | Symphonic Rain | older | $39.99 | 1,114 97% | 33k | $1.3M (exactly $1,336,466) | KOGADO STUDIO |
| | Rez Infinite | older | $24.99 | 1,166 91% | 35k | $874k (exactly $874,150) | Monstars Inc., Resonair |
| | A Highland Song | older | $17.99 | 553 87% | 17k | $298k (exactly $298,454) | inkle Ltd |
| | Keylocker | Turn Based Cyberpunk Action | $19.99 | 225 84% | 6.8k | $135k (exactly $134,932) | Moonana | |
| | Afterlove EP | $19.99 | 184 90% | 5.5k | $110k (exactly $110,345) | Pikselnesia | |
| | K-pop Idol Stories: Road to Debut | $19.99 | 175 53% | 5.3k | $105k (exactly $104,947) | Wisageni Studio | |
| | The Land Beneath Us | older | $14.99 | 230 79% | 6.9k | $103k (exactly $103,431) | FairPlay Studios |
| | Double Kick Heroes | older | $19.99 | 151 82% | 4.5k | $91k (exactly $90,555) | Headbang Club |
| | Sex-Pop Demon Hunters | $12.99 | 220 89% | 6.6k | $86k (exactly $85,734) | Sweet Buns Games | |
| | Lover's Enigma | $11.99 | 98 87% | 2.9k | $35k (exactly $35,251) | FallenCranberry Studio | |
| | Ultimate Drummer | $5.99 | 170 98% | 5.1k | $31k (exactly $30,549) | Cool 3D World | |
| | I Write Games Not Tragedies | $12.99 | 47 100% | 1.4k | $18k (exactly $18,316) | Studio Wife | |
| | Punk Juice | $14.99 | 39 100% | 1.2k | $18k (exactly $17,538) | LEMON BOY | |
| | COLD VR | $19.99 | 28 60% | 840 | $17k (exactly $16,792) | ALLWARE LLC |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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