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Should I ship a Multiple Endings Metroidvania?
Metroidvania + Multiple Endings
Of 81 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Metroidvania in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 262 more are announced, ×5.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $6.6k, ×14 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.6k; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×896 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 262 games are announced against 45 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.6k (exactly $1,559) |
|---|---|
| Median | $6.6k (exactly $6,587) |
| Top 25% | $36k (exactly $35,982) |
| Top 5% | $426k (exactly $425,787) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 81 |
| Released games | 212 |
| Announced | 262 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Metroidvania
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Multiple Endings
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Metroidvania, Multiple Endings; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Exploration
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 394,772 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.6k. 6 in 10 of the 38 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 262 games are announced against 45 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Metroidvania with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ParkourPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + LovecraftianPoor odds
- + CollectathonPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Survival HorrorPoor odds
- + Souls-likePoor odds
- + VampiresPoor odds
- + Inventory ManagementPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
Comparable games
Hollow Knight: Silksong 2025 · $232M 
Hollow Knight 2017 · $226M 
ENDER LILIES: Quietus of the Knights 2021 · $32M 
Blasphemous 2 2023 · $15M 
Afterimage 2023 · $5.2M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Hollow Knight: Silksong | $19.99 | 386,977 89% | 12M | $232M (exactly $232,070,107) | Team Cherry | |
| | Hollow Knight | older | $14.99 | 502,960 96% | 15M | $226M (exactly $226,181,112) | Team Cherry |
| | ENDER LILIES: Quietus of the Knights | older | $24.99 | 43,092 93% | 1.3M | $32M (exactly $32,306,072) | Live Wire, Adglobe |
| | Blasphemous 2 | older | $29.99 | 16,808 91% | 504k | $15M (exactly $15,122,158) | The Game Kitchen |
| | Afterimage | older | $24.99 | 6,929 79% | 208k | $5.2M (exactly $5,194,671) | Aurogon Shanghai |
 | Reventure | older | $12.34 | 8,451 95% | 254k | $3.1M (exactly $3,128,560) | Pixelatto |
 | Asterigos: Curse of the Stars | older | $34.99 | 2,550 78% | 77k | $2.7M (exactly $2,676,735) | Acme Gamestudio |
 | Cave Story+ | older | $14.99 | 5,230 92% | 157k | $2.4M (exactly $2,351,931) | Nicalis, Inc., Studio Pixel |
 | Vigil: The Longest Night | older | $21.99 | 3,333 85% | 100k | $2.2M (exactly $2,198,780) | Glass Heart Games |
 | GRIME II | $27.99 | 1,892 86% | 57k | $1.6M (exactly $1,588,712) | Clover Bite | |
 | Pipistrello and the Cursed Yoyo | $19.99 | 1,993 97% | 60k | $1.2M (exactly $1,195,202) | Pocket Trap | |
 | Guns of Fury | $14.99 | 950 88% | 29k | $427k (exactly $427,215) | Gelato Games Ltd | |
 | Solateria | $19.99 | 710 83% | 21k | $426k (exactly $425,787) | Studio Doodal | |
 | Fatal Claw | $24.99 | 428 89% | 13k | $321k (exactly $320,872) | NDEV GAMES | |
 | Zexion | $19.99 | 528 90% | 16k | $317k (exactly $316,642) | Gallant Leaf | |
 | FOUNTAINS | $14.99 | 423 84% | 13k | $190k (exactly $190,223) | John Pywell | |
 | DragonLoop | $8.99 | 567 91% | 17k | $153k (exactly $152,920) | 沙因, 小阮 | |
 | Volkolak: The Will of Gods | $15.99 | 304 87% | 9.1k | $146k (exactly $145,829) | Volk Team |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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