Do I ship it?

Games › Multiple Endings › Multiple Endings + Otome

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Otome?

Multiple Endings + Otome

Of 108 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Otome in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 190 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.6k, ×12 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.8k; 1 in 20 cleared $220k, ×481 the market median. Revenue is up 25% on the market; 190 games are announced against 66 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 11.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 25% on the market, 190 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Otome
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 108
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $14k → $29k → $7.8k → $7.2k → $5.6k → $4.6k → $2.7k (still earning) → $8.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Otome: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 108
Bottom 30% $1.8k (exactly $1,796)
Median $5.6k (exactly $5,607)
Top 25% $27k (exactly $26,618)
Top 5% $229k (exactly $228,581)
Developers, 2 yr 108
Released games 353
Announced 190
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 25% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Otome
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Multiple Endings, Otome; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Visual Novel, Dating Sim, Choose Your Own Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $20.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Anime, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $20.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 18,492 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.8k, median $5.6k, 1 in 4 over $26k, 1 in 20 over $220k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.8k. 8 in 10 of the 60 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 190 games are announced against 66 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Homicipher 2024 · $3.3M DRAMAtical Murder 2021 · $2.8M Hatoful Boyfriend 2014 · $1.7M 私のリアルは充実しすぎている フルボイス版 2022 · $1.6M 月华辉映之刻 2025 · $1.5M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Homicipher $13.99 7,821 96% 235k $3.3M (exactly $3,282,474) 八名木Games
DRAMAtical Murder older $19.99 4,640 96% 139k $2.8M (exactly $2,782,608) Nitro+CHiRAL
Hatoful Boyfriend older $9.99 5,533 94% 166k $1.7M (exactly $1,658,240) Mediatonic, Hato Moa
私のリアルは充実しすぎている フルボイス版 older $9.99 5,322 96% 160k $1.6M (exactly $1,595,003) TetraScope
月华辉映之刻 $11.99 4,227 89% 127k $1.5M (exactly $1,520,452) 侠客狗工作室
BUSTAFELLOWS older $39.99 968 86% 29k $1.2M (exactly $1,161,310) NIPPON CULTURAL BROADCASTING EXTEND INC.
Amnesia™: Memories older $9.99 3,721 92% 112k $1.1M (exactly $1,115,184) Idea Factory, Design Factory
灾厄黑龙与谎言公主 $9.99 3,682 90% 110k $1.1M (exactly $1,103,495) 莓夜工作室
Psychedelica of the Black Butterfly older $29.99 825 84% 25k $742k (exactly $742,252) IDEA FACTORY
OZMAFIA!! older $34.99 608 80% 18k $638k (exactly $638,218) Poni-Pachet SY
Meiji Tokyo Renka Full Moon $59.99 196 91% 5.9k $353k (exactly $352,741) dramatic create
我的恋爱逃生攻略 Love to Live $9.99 864 85% 26k $259k (exactly $258,941) 番茄炖肉制作组
Heart Cage $20.99 363 97% 11k $229k (exactly $228,581) RiceLoveCoffee
INtLOVErt Game Club $39.99 186 96% 5.6k $223k (exactly $223,144) じょせふ
The Silent Kingdom · EA $17.99 290 99% 8.7k $157k (exactly $156,513) Lucky Cat
暴杀残雨之夜 $6.00 779 98% 23k $140k (exactly $140,220) 茶斩刀制作组
Velvet Bite: Softly, with Teeth $39.99 84 54% 2.5k $101k (exactly $100,775) EVERIUM

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.