Do I ship it?

GamesCookingCooking + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Cooking game?

Cooking + Multiple Endings

Of 43 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Cooking game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 100 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.1k, ×11 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $210k, ×451 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 100 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 100 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Cooking + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 43
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $30k → $21k → $5.3k → $49k → $32k → $7.3k → $1.5k (still earning) → $3.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Cooking + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 43
Bottom 30% $1.5k (exactly $1,455)
Median $5.1k (exactly $5,090)
Top 25% $49k (exactly $48,899)
Top 5% $214k (exactly $214,335)
Developers, 2 yr 43
Released games 82
Announced 100
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Cooking
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Cooking, Multiple Endings; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Visual Novel, Choices Matter
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 4,963 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.5k, median $5.1k, 1 in 4 over $48k, 1 in 20 over $210k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 6 in 10 of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 100 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Cooking with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair54 devs · median $14k · 68 announced
  2. + DogsFair12 devs · median $8.1k · 12 announced
  3. + Turn-Based CombatFair15 devs · median $6.0k · 22 announced
  4. + Point & ClickFair68 devs · median $1.8k · 79 announced
  5. + LogicFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced
  6. + Score AttackFair28 devs · median $1.4k · 30 announced
  7. + Hidden ObjectFair25 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  8. + PuzzleFair77 devs · median $958 · 92 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligencePoor odds15 devs · median $73k · 10 announced
  10. + JRPGPoor odds13 devs · median $34k · 25 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds16 devs · median $30k · 32 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds12 devs · median $26k · 23 announced

All 95 pairs on the Cooking page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty older $9.99 49,765 94% 1.5M $15M (exactly $14,914,570) 零创游戏(ZerocreationGame)
Touhou Mystia's Izakaya older $5.99 29,517 98% 886k $5.3M (exactly $5,304,205) 二色幽紫蝶, Re零同人社
UNDYING - "KINGDOM" older $19.99 1,688 78% 51k $1.0M (exactly $1,012,294) Vanimals
Kemono Teatime $12.99 1,617 95% 49k $630k (exactly $630,145) Studio Lalala, Kotoneiro, WHO YOU
Witchy Life Story older $19.99 965 80% 29k $579k (exactly $578,710) Sundew Studios
Cooking Companions older $14.99 1,081 93% 32k $486k (exactly $486,126) Deer Dream Studios
Slow living with Princess older $19.99 580 87% 17k $348k (exactly $347,826) KADOKAWA, TSUKURITE.
Maid Cafe on Electric Street $18.99 595 82% 18k $339k (exactly $338,972) Adventurer's Tavern
Big Winner $12.99 550 82% 17k $214k (exactly $214,335) iFAction Studio
Waning Flowers of a World Eternal - The Rainbow Appears After Flowering Rain $19.99 297 96% 8.9k $178k (exactly $178,111) SWEET&TEA
Creator Chronicles $11.99 424 64% 13k $153k (exactly $152,513) Origin Studio
Tostchu $7.99 594 84% 18k $142k (exactly $142,382) Ravenscape Collective
Coffee & Boobs $7.99 463 74% 14k $111k (exactly $110,981) TopHouse Studio
High Times $19.99 163 90% 4.9k $98k (exactly $97,751) Yangyang Mobile
WorldNeverland - Daily Life in the Elnea Kingdom - Another Life Adventure $29.99 92 78% 2.8k $83k (exactly $82,772) althi Inc.
Taste of the Wind $10.99 168 83% 5.0k $55k (exactly $55,390) 一留留

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.