Do I ship it?

Games › Deckbuilding › Deckbuilding + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Deckbuilding?

Deckbuilding + Multiple Endings

Of 62 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Deckbuilding in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 148 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.1k, ×8.6 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $640k, ×1351 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 148 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 8.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 148 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Deckbuilding + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 62
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $150k → $151k → $32k → $30k → $50k → $4.1k → $690 (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Deckbuilding + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 62
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $4.1k (exactly $4,070)
Top 25% $53k (exactly $52,516)
Top 5% $642k (exactly $641,743)
Developers, 2 yr 62
Released games 115
Announced 148
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Deckbuilding
effort 3 / 10 · high · card pools and run logic
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Deckbuilding, Multiple Endings; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Card Game, Card Battler, Strategy
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 13,165 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $4.1k, 1 in 4 over $52k, 1 in 20 over $640k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 6 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 148 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Deckbuilding with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationFair44 devs · median $2.8k · 51 announced
  2. + Inventory ManagementFair98 devs · median $2.5k · 137 announced
  3. + ArcadeFair170 devs · median $1.9k · 234 announced
  4. + 2D FighterFair17 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  5. + Party GameFair22 devs · median $719 · 30 announced
  6. + SwordplayFair11 devs · median $599 · 13 announced
  7. + Point & ClickFair34 devs · median $598 · 36 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair53 devs · median $537 · 79 announced
  9. + LogicFair84 devs · median $419 · 118 announced
  10. + LovecraftianPoor odds19 devs · median $72k · 56 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $30k · 31 announced
  12. + Visual NovelPoor odds36 devs · median $26k · 64 announced

All 141 pairs on the Deckbuilding page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

暖雪 Warm Snow 2022 · $19M Griftlands 2021 · $8.1M I Was a Teenage Exocolonist 2022 · $3.3M Matchmaking Inc. 2025 · $1.6M Take Me To The Dungeon!! 2023 · $1.3M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
暖雪 Warm Snow older $17.99 35,270 92% 1.1M $19M (exactly $19,035,219) BadMudStudio
Griftlands older $19.99 13,440 93% 403k $8.1M (exactly $8,059,968) Klei Entertainment
I Was a Teenage Exocolonist older $24.99 4,443 96% 133k $3.3M (exactly $3,330,917) Northway Games
Matchmaking Inc. $8.99 5,773 87% 173k $1.6M (exactly $1,556,978) Wave Games
Take Me To The Dungeon!! older $10.99 3,895 93% 117k $1.3M (exactly $1,284,182) Hanabi Fuusen
Office Life $19.99 1,725 88% 52k $1.0M (exactly $1,034,482) LeiYun Games
Journey to the West older $19.99 1,470 79% 44k $882k (exactly $881,559) Z Studio
Out Of Hands $17.99 1,322 93% 40k $713k (exactly $713,483) Game River
Card-en-Ciel $24.99 856 90% 26k $642k (exactly $641,743) INTI CREATES CO., LTD.
The Knight Witch older $19.99 643 72% 19k $386k (exactly $385,607) Super Mega Team
Witch's Apocalyptic Journey $8.99 1,282 84% 38k $346k (exactly $345,755) MeowAlive
Roots Devour $14.99 479 68% 14k $215k (exactly $215,406) Rewinding Games
Big Winner $12.99 550 82% 17k $214k (exactly $214,335) iFAction Studio
Shambles: Sons of Apocalypse $19.99 340 77% 10k $204k (exactly $203,898) EXLIX
Disillusion ST $10.99 524 96% 16k $173k (exactly $172,763) Disillusion Dev, Disillusion Dev
Kumitantei: Old-School Slaughter $14.99 314 90% 9.4k $141k (exactly $141,206) Mango Factory

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.