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Should I ship a Multiple Endings Wargame?
Wargame + Multiple Endings
Of 20 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Wargame in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.9k, ×4.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $41M, ×65458 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 43 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $599 (exactly $599) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.9k (exactly $2,876) |
| Top 25% | $67k (exactly $66,758) |
| Top 5% | $41M (exactly $41,107,927) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 20 |
| Released games | 61 |
| Announced | 43 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Wargame
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Multiple Endings
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Wargame, Multiple Endings; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Action, Choices Matter
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $69.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich, Top-Down
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $69.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 20,554 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Wargame with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + NavalFair
- + TabletopFair
- + LogicFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Real-TimePoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
Comparable games
DYNASTY WARRIORS: ORIGINS 2025 · $41M 
Last Train Home 2023 · $5.4M 
Three Kingdoms Zhao Yun 2024 · $2.3M 
War Hospital 2024 · $905k 
War Room 2020 · $595k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | DYNASTY WARRIORS: ORIGINS | $69.99 | 19,578 92% | 587k | $41M (exactly $41,107,927) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. | |
| | Last Train Home | older | $39.99 | 4,511 86% | 135k | $5.4M (exactly $5,411,847) | Ashborne Games |
| | Three Kingdoms Zhao Yun | older | $19.99 | 3,829 66% | 115k | $2.3M (exactly $2,296,251) | ZUIJIANGYUE Game |
| | War Hospital | older | $29.99 | 1,006 60% | 30k | $905k (exactly $905,098) | Brave Lamb Studio S.A. |
| | War Room | older | $29.99 | 661 51% | 20k | $595k (exactly $594,702) | Binge Gaming OU, Wastelands Interactive |
 | Broken Lines | older | $24.99 | 604 76% | 18k | $453k (exactly $452,819) | BirdIsland/PortaPlay |
 | Three Kingdoms The Last Warlord | older | $3.99 | 3,611 68% | 108k | $432k (exactly $432,237) | LongYou Game Studio |
 | Air Defender | · EA | $20.19 | 364 78% | 11k | $220k (exactly $220,475) | ROTOR3 |
 | The Light Remake | older | $4.99 | 1,462 87% | 44k | $219k (exactly $218,861) | Носков Сергей |
 | Chaos Galaxy 2 | older | $19.99 | 304 82% | 9.1k | $182k (exactly $182,309) | Han Zhiyu |
 | Welcome Back, Commander | $14.99 | 230 80% | 6.9k | $103k (exactly $103,431) | S.C. 16 BIT NIGHTS S.R.L. | |
 | No Retreat! The Russian Front | $29.99 | 80 76% | 2.4k | $72k (exactly $71,976) | Cyril Jarnot, Avalon Digital | |
 | STRANGER SAGA -Stranger Bach and Iskiyeld's Ambition- | $9.89 | 225 86% | 6.8k | $67k (exactly $66,758) | Retro Game Balance & Mechanics -レトロ… (Retro Game Balance & Mechanics -レトロゲームの手応えとバランスを追求するデザイン工房-) | |
 | Dynasty Game 2 | $7.99 | 29 65% | 870 | $7.0k (exactly $6,951) | Yocone | |
 | SGS Sealion | $24.99 | 8 100% | 240 | $6.0k (exactly $5,998) | Strategy Game Sudio | |
 | Back to Dust - Hold it Together | $6.99 | 17 100% | 510 | $3.6k (exactly $3,565) | KomBits Game Studio | |
 | A Byte War | $8.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $3.0k (exactly $2,967) | STELLAR, Chunky Pixel Games | |
 | Night of the Dead Simulator | $7.99 | 12 50% | 360 | $2.9k (exactly $2,876) | Unknown People Lab |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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