Do I ship it?

Games › City Builder › City Builder + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings City Builder?

City Builder + Multiple Endings

Of 22 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings City Builder in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $7.0k, ×11 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $2.3M, ×3672 the market median. Revenue is up 25% on the market; 43 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 11.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 25% on the market, 43 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
City Builder + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $208 → $83k → $1.1k → $7.0k → $21k (still earning) → $779 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for City Builder + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $1.0k (exactly $1,025)
Median $7.0k (exactly $6,951)
Top 25% $45k (exactly $44,985)
Top 5% $2.3M (exactly $2,305,846)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 55
Announced 43
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 25% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

City Builder
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
City Builder, Multiple Endings; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Building, Choices Matter
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 68% positive over 7,402 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $7.0k, 1 in 4 over $44k, 1 in 20 over $2.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

City Builder with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Visual NovelStrong odds10 devs · median $19k · 8 announced
  2. + LogicFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair75 devs · median $1.3k · 96 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 20 announced
  5. + ArcadeFair28 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  6. + RacingLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  7. + RomePoor odds9 devs · median $423k · 10 announced
  8. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds13 devs · median $215k · 25 announced
  9. + HorrorPoor odds10 devs · median $157k · 21 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds17 devs · median $146k · 50 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds26 devs · median $108k · 47 announced

All 136 pairs on the City Builder page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Anno 1800 2019 · $54M 下一站江湖Ⅱ 2024 · $6.4M Yog-Sothoth’s Yard 2023 · $3.4M Surviving Mars: Relaunched 2025 · $2.6M Hollywood Animal 2025 · EA · $2.3M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Anno 1800 older $59.99 29,854 81% 896k $54M (exactly $53,728,244) Ubisoft Mainz
下一站江湖Ⅱ older $24.99 8,507 72% 255k $6.4M (exactly $6,377,698) 白玉京工作室
Yog-Sothoth’s Yard older $10.99 10,207 93% 306k $3.4M (exactly $3,365,248) Bone Nail
Surviving Mars: Relaunched $39.99 2,202 55% 66k $2.6M (exactly $2,641,739) Haemimont Games
Hollywood Animal · EA $19.99 3,845 73% 115k $2.3M (exactly $2,305,846) Weappy Wholesome
War Hospital older $29.99 1,006 60% 30k $905k (exactly $905,098) Brave Lamb Studio S.A.
Slow living with Princess older $19.99 580 87% 17k $348k (exactly $347,826) KADOKAWA, TSUKURITE.
Creator Chronicles $11.99 424 64% 13k $153k (exactly $152,513) Origin Studio
The Succession of Changing Kings $9.99 487 86% 15k $146k (exactly $145,954) KwaKwaGames
I Am Your President older $14.99 263 66% 7.9k $118k (exactly $118,271) President
BM Love Cafe $7.99 204 77% 6.1k $49k (exactly $48,899) zzzgame
Mistwinter Bay $29.99 50 84% 1.5k $45k (exactly $44,985) Swordlake Entertainment
Generation Exile $29.99 48 66% 1.4k $43k (exactly $43,186) Sonderlust Studios
Epoch Cycle $8.99 79 68% 2.4k $21k (exactly $21,306) GeometricUniverse
National Transit · EA $7.99 47 97% 1.4k $11k (exactly $11,266) NationQ Studio
Cult Leader Simulator $17.99 16 50% 480 $8.6k (exactly $8,635) Nhneno

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.