Do I ship it?

GamesArcadeArcade + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Arcade game?

Arcade + Multiple Endings

Of 176 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Arcade game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 180 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $180. Revenue is up 70% on the market; 180 games are announced against 110 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 70% on the market, 180 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arcade + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 176
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $427 → $1.0k → $1.6k → $899 → $538 → $748 → $838 (still earning) → $210 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Arcade + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 176
Bottom 30% $178 (exactly $178)
Median $598 (exactly $598)
Top 25% $4.0k (exactly $3,984)
Top 5% $113k (exactly $112,875)
Developers, 2 yr 176
Released games 462
Announced 180
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 70% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Arcade, Multiple Endings; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Shooter
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Retro
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 13,412 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $600, 1 in 4 over $3.9k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 86 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 180 games are announced against 110 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arcade with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair59 devs · median $4.3k · 88 announced
  2. + TrainsFair20 devs · median $3.1k · 16 announced
  3. + Visual NovelFair101 devs · median $2.6k · 84 announced
  4. + MiningFair91 devs · median $2.2k · 125 announced
  5. + FaithFair16 devs · median $2.2k · 15 announced
  6. + Turn-BasedFair35 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  7. + EconomyFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair72 devs · median $2.1k · 61 announced
  9. + DeckbuildingFair170 devs · median $1.9k · 234 announced
  10. + Card BattlerFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  11. + LootFair147 devs · median $1.9k · 215 announced
  12. + VampiresFair34 devs · median $1.9k · 35 announced

All 270 pairs on the Arcade page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
THE HOUSE OF THE DEAD: Remake older $24.99 2,703 68% 81k $2.0M (exactly $2,026,439) MegaPixel Studio S. A.
Fight'N Rage older $19.99 2,557 92% 77k $1.5M (exactly $1,533,433) sebagamesdev
Terminator 2D: NO FATE $29.99 1,450 84% 44k $1.3M (exactly $1,304,565) Bitmap Bureau
Rez Infinite older $24.99 1,166 91% 35k $874k (exactly $874,150) Monstars Inc., Resonair
Mayhem Brawler older $19.99 836 89% 25k $501k (exactly $501,349) Hero Concept
Super Mombo Quest older $19.99 795 96% 24k $477k (exactly $476,761) Orube Game Studio
THE HOUSE OF THE DEAD 2: Remake $24.99 607 44% 18k $455k (exactly $455,068) MegaPixel Studio S. A.
Guns of Fury $14.99 950 88% 29k $427k (exactly $427,215) Gelato Games Ltd
That's not my Neighbor $2.99 4,498 88% 135k $403k (exactly $403,471) Nachosama Games
Gal*Gun Returns older $49.99 240 85% 7.2k $360k (exactly $359,928) INTI CREATES CO., LTD.
Souper Game $14.99 550 78% 17k $247k (exactly $247,335) SinBeans Studio
SchoolBoy Runaway $1.99 3,731 90% 112k $223k (exactly $222,741) Linked Squad
ROGUE FLIGHT $19.99 279 96% 8.4k $167k (exactly $167,316) Truant Pixel, LLC
Slots & Diapers $6.99 539 88% 16k $113k (exactly $113,028) Parodie Games
Wild Blue Skies $14.99 251 58% 7.5k $113k (exactly $112,875) Chuhai Labs, VITEI BACKROOM Inc.
FEED THE AI $5.99 557 90% 17k $100k (exactly $100,093) Weird Kid Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.