Do I ship it?

GamesFMVFMV + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings FMV?

FMV + Multiple Endings

Of 128 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings FMV in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 93 more are announced.

Verdict: strong odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $65k, ×136 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 7 in 10 cleared $16k. Revenue is up 120% on the market; 93 games are announced against 78 developers who shipped in the last year, ×1.2 per shipper.

Deciding numbers: median 136.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 120% on the market, 93 announced, ×1.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FMV + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 128
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $30k → $11k → $67k → $103k → $47k → $122k → $58k (still earning) → $195k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for FMV + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 128
Bottom 30% $16k (exactly $16,484)
Median $65k (exactly $64,735)
Top 25% $240k (exactly $239,904)
Top 5% $1.2M (exactly $1,201,149)
Developers, 2 yr 128
Released games 281
Announced 93
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 120% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

FMV
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
FMV, Multiple Endings; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Interactive Fiction, RPG, Visual Novel
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Cinematic, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 90,747 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $17k, median $65k, 1 in 4 over $230k, 1 in 20 over $1.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $17k. 3 in 10 of the 74 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 93 games are announced against 78 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FMV with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SurvivalStrong odds14 devs · median $74k · 10 announced
  2. + Post-apocalypticStrong odds8 devs · median $74k · 5 announced
  3. + StrategyStrong odds50 devs · median $65k · 27 announced
  4. + Immersive SimStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  5. + Choices MatterStrong odds108 devs · median $58k · 91 announced
  6. + Dating SimStrong odds148 devs · median $57k · 111 announced
  7. + RomanceStrong odds101 devs · median $56k · 63 announced
  8. + SimulationStrong odds150 devs · median $55k · 81 announced
  9. + JRPGStrong odds12 devs · median $54k · 6 announced
  10. + Visual NovelStrong odds166 devs · median $54k · 146 announced
  11. + RPGStrong odds169 devs · median $54k · 144 announced
  12. + Life SimStrong odds38 devs · median $54k · 21 announced

All 63 pairs on the FMV page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Love Is All Around older $9.99 36,203 93% 1.1M $11M (exactly $10,850,039) intiny
Revenge on gold diggers $6.99 46,610 80% 1.4M $9.8M (exactly $9,774,117) 前方工作室
Not For Broadcast older $24.99 10,337 94% 310k $7.7M (exactly $7,749,649) NotGames
Mirror 2: Project X · EA older $1.99 111,251 24% 3.3M $6.6M (exactly $6,641,685) KAGAMI Ⅱ WORKs
Road to Empress Ⅱ $18.00 7,773 80% 233k $4.2M (exactly $4,197,420) New One Studio
Five Hearts Under One Roof $19.99 5,881 91% 176k $3.5M (exactly $3,526,836) Storytaco
Late Shift older $14.99 7,762 86% 233k $3.5M (exactly $3,490,571) CtrlMovie
Road to Empress I $8.49 11,829 86% 355k $3.0M (exactly $3,012,846) New One Studio
Mandate Of Heaven $14.99 5,446 91% 163k $2.4M (exactly $2,449,066) 木焱工作室
Breakout 13 older $9.99 6,899 87% 207k $2.1M (exactly $2,067,630) ALT Lab
The Three Kingdoms: Rebirth $19.99 2,564 91% 77k $1.5M (exactly $1,537,631) 玛奇阿朵互娱科技, 山与海工作室
Five Hearts Under One Roof season2 $22.99 2,149 96% 64k $1.5M (exactly $1,482,165) Storytaco
Hello Love: 18 Again $19.99 2,075 92% 62k $1.2M (exactly $1,244,378) 念念而忘(Echofall Studio)
Shao Song I $14.99 2,671 81% 80k $1.2M (exactly $1,201,149) 互动之星, 猫眼娱乐
Love is All Around 2 $9.99 3,749 83% 112k $1.1M (exactly $1,123,575) intiny

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.