Do I ship it?

Games › Trading › Trading + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Trading Multiple Endings game?

Trading + Multiple Endings

Of 22 developers who shipped a Trading Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 59 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.5k, ×7.4 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $150k, ×321 the market median. Revenue is up 460% on the market; 59 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 460% on the market, 59 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Trading + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $718 → $2.3k → $23k (still earning) → $3.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Trading + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $3.5k (exactly $3,506)
Top 25% $23k (exactly $23,384)
Top 5% $153k (exactly $152,513)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 37
Announced 59
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 460% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Trading
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Trading, Multiple Endings; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Management, Strategy
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 2,206 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $3.5k, 1 in 4 over $23k, 1 in 20 over $150k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 59 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Trading with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + MiningFair32 devs · median $12k · 33 announced
  2. + Score AttackFair13 devs · median $600 · 13 announced
  3. + MMORPGPoor odds6 devs · median $206k · 42 announced
  4. + Character CustomizationPoor odds26 devs · median $60k · 137 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds23 devs · median $47k · 84 announced
  6. + Co-opPoor odds24 devs · median $47k · 82 announced
  7. + FlightPoor odds6 devs · median $36k · 21 announced
  8. + SportsPoor odds11 devs · median $34k · 14 announced
  9. + CollectathonPoor odds28 devs · median $30k · 65 announced
  10. + PhysicsPoor odds23 devs · median $27k · 71 announced
  11. + DrivingPoor odds23 devs · median $24k · 48 announced
  12. + LootPoor odds23 devs · median $23k · 60 announced

All 109 pairs on the Trading page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

No Umbrellas Allowed 2021 · $836k The Last Gas Station 2026 · $525k Repair this! 2024 · $165k Creator Chronicles 2026 · $153k Caravaneer 2 2020 · $96k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
No Umbrellas Allowed older $19.99 1,394 80% 42k $836k (exactly $835,982) Hoochoo Game Studios
The Last Gas Station $13.99 1,250 87% 38k $525k (exactly $524,625) Alawar
Repair this! older $6.99 786 88% 24k $165k (exactly $164,824) HGISoft
Creator Chronicles $11.99 424 64% 13k $153k (exactly $152,513) Origin Studio
Caravaneer 2 older $5.99 535 94% 16k $96k (exactly $96,140) Dmitry Zheltobriukhov
Snow Ash $14.99 179 73% 5.4k $80k (exactly $80,496) Ember Studio
Rich List: The Order · EA $14.99 70 90% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,479) YUANYE TECH
Something to Drink? $9.99 84 98% 2.5k $25k (exactly $25,175) Adam's Games
SELF MADE: Investment Life Sim $14.99 52 84% 1.6k $23k (exactly $23,384) Billmeade Gaming
Ace Campus Club older $14.99 36 52% 1.1k $16k (exactly $16,189) ZiX Solutions
Warp to Sector One · EA $11.99 41 92% 1.2k $15k (exactly $14,748) hextor.Games
NTR LIFE $3.99 70 74% 2.1k $8.4k (exactly $8,379) Jpegsama
Ritualis: Summoner Simulator $5.99 26 88% 780 $4.7k (exactly $4,672) Noxtell Games
Real Pharmacy Simulator · EA $12.99 10 20% 300 $3.9k (exactly $3,897) Mannered Monster

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.