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Should I ship a Multiple Endings Colony Sim?
Colony Sim + Multiple Endings
Only 18 developers shipped a Multiple Endings Colony Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Into the Dead: Our Darkest Days, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 40 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $8.2k, ×13 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $6.7M, ×10803 the market median. Revenue is up 370% on the market; 40 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $598 (exactly $598) |
|---|---|
| Median | $8.2k (exactly $8,247) |
| Top 25% | $43k (exactly $43,186) |
| Top 5% | $6.8M (exactly $6,784,035) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 18 |
| Released games | 41 |
| Announced | 40 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.66 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 370% on the market, supply 250% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Colony Sim
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Multiple Endings
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Colony Sim, Multiple Endings; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Management, Choices Matter, Simulation
- Price point
- $9.66 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.66.
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 12,326 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. 40 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Colony Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + ArcadeLong shot
- + 4XPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Action RPGPoor odds
- + Post-apocalypticPoor odds
- + MarsPoor odds
Comparable games
Into the Dead: Our Darkest Days 2025 · EA · $6.8M 
下一站江湖Ⅱ 2024 · $6.4M 
Surviving Mars: Relaunched 2025 · $2.6M 
Anvil Saga 2023 · $874k 
Sinner Maker 2026 · EA · $158k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Into the Dead: Our Darkest Days | · EA | $24.99 | 9,049 89% | 271k | $6.8M (exactly $6,784,035) | PikPok |
| | 下一站江湖Ⅱ | older | $24.99 | 8,507 72% | 255k | $6.4M (exactly $6,377,698) | 白玉京工作室 |
| | Surviving Mars: Relaunched | $39.99 | 2,202 55% | 66k | $2.6M (exactly $2,641,739) | Haemimont Games | |
| | Anvil Saga | older | $19.99 | 1,457 70% | 44k | $874k (exactly $873,763) | Pirozhok Studio |
| | Sinner Maker | · EA | $9.66 | 545 91% | 16k | $158k (exactly $157,941) | Pantokrator |
 | Rogue AI Simulator | older | $11.99 | 364 82% | 11k | $131k (exactly $130,931) | Nerdook Productions |
 | Quarantineer | older | $9.99 | 307 80% | 9.2k | $92k (exactly $92,008) | Papaonn |
 | Organs Please | older | $13.99 | 202 82% | 6.1k | $85k (exactly $84,779) | TECHHOME |
 | LakeSide | older | $14.99 | 185 68% | 5.6k | $83k (exactly $83,194) | Massive Galaxy Studios |
 | Dead Reckoning: The Long Drift | · EA | $14.99 | 174 83% | 5.2k | $78k (exactly $78,248) | Garan Lorn |
 | Generation Exile | $29.99 | 48 66% | 1.4k | $43k (exactly $43,186) | Sonderlust Studios | |
 | Lunar Ascendant | $14.99 | 86 44% | 2.6k | $39k (exactly $38,674) | Darts Games | |
 | The Carcass | $9.99 | 76 26% | 2.3k | $23k (exactly $22,777) | PiqFocus Interactive | |
 | Secret Sexy Streamer | $7.99 | 67 88% | 2.0k | $16k (exactly $16,060) | Fantasy Games | |
 | Thieves Of Dingirra | $24.99 | 11 81% | 330 | $8.2k (exactly $8,247) | Winter Wolves | |
 | Feed the Greed | $2.99 | 68 73% | 2.0k | $6.1k (exactly $6,100) | Elifam |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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