Do I ship it?

Games › Mechanics › Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings game?

Multiple Endings

Of 3,688 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6,465 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×4.1 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $310k, ×662 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 6,465 games are announced against 2,216 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 6,465 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 3,688
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.7k → $4.5k → $5.1k → $3.6k → $3.1k → $2.2k → $1.5k (still earning) → $839 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 3,688
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,948)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $16,301)
Top 5% $314k (exactly $314,321)
Developers, 2 yr 3,688
Released games 10,377
Announced 6,465
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Multiple Endings
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $18.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 757,475 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $310k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 2,036 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 6,465 games are announced against 2,216 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Multiple Endings

66 pairs with a settingwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Multiple Endings + Wuxia Fair $230k 11 devs
  2. Multiple Endings + Superhero Fair $4.5k 15 devs
  3. Multiple Endings + Martial Arts Poor odds $30k 30 devs
  4. Multiple Endings + Music Poor odds $18k 12 devs
  5. Multiple Endings + Werewolves Poor odds $8.4k 10 devs
  6. Multiple Endings + Cold War Poor odds $7.0k 18 devs
  7. Multiple Endings + Romance Poor odds $7.0k 776 devs
  8. Multiple Endings + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $6.3k 321 devs
  9. Multiple Endings + Dinosaurs Poor odds $5.4k 6 devs
  10. Multiple Endings + Vampires Poor odds $5.1k 34 devs
  11. Multiple Endings + Time Travel Poor odds $4.9k 50 devs
  12. Multiple Endings + Dragons Poor odds $4.9k 24 devs
  13. Multiple Endings + Lovecraftian Poor odds $4.9k 93 devs
  14. Multiple Endings + Female Protagonist Poor odds $4.9k 733 devs
  15. Multiple Endings + Gothic Poor odds $4.1k 45 devs
  16. Multiple Endings + Historical Poor odds $4.0k 138 devs
  17. Multiple Endings + War Poor odds $3.6k 46 devs
  18. Multiple Endings + Fantasy Poor odds $3.0k 600 devs
  19. Multiple Endings + Steampunk Poor odds $3.0k 30 devs
  20. Multiple Endings + Artificial Intelligence Poor odds $2.7k 127 devs
  21. Multiple Endings + Dark Fantasy Poor odds $2.7k 287 devs
  22. Multiple Endings + Mechs Poor odds $2.6k 13 devs
  23. Multiple Endings + Magic Poor odds $2.6k 205 devs
  24. Multiple Endings + Detective Poor odds $2.4k 290 devs
  25. Multiple Endings + Modern Poor odds $2.3k 163 devs
  26. Multiple Endings + Psychological Horror Poor odds $2.3k 943 devs
  27. Multiple Endings + Crime Poor odds $2.2k 121 devs
  28. Multiple Endings + Medieval Poor odds $2.2k 207 devs
  29. Multiple Endings + Assassins Poor odds $2.2k 17 devs
  30. Multiple Endings + Underground Poor odds $2.1k 48 devs
  31. Multiple Endings + Mystery Poor odds $2.0k 921 devs
  32. Multiple Endings + Dystopian Poor odds $2.0k 163 devs
  33. Multiple Endings + Transhumanism Poor odds $1.9k 27 devs
  34. Multiple Endings + Alternate History Poor odds $1.9k 106 devs
  35. Multiple Endings + Thriller Poor odds $1.9k 400 devs
  36. Multiple Endings + Pirates Poor odds $1.8k 13 devs
  37. Multiple Endings + Supernatural Poor odds $1.8k 287 devs
  38. Multiple Endings + Demons Poor odds $1.8k 138 devs
  39. Multiple Endings + Horror Poor odds $1.8k 1,081 devs
  40. Multiple Endings + Cats Poor odds $1.7k 59 devs
  41. Multiple Endings + Psychological Poor odds $1.6k 415 devs
  42. Multiple Endings + Capitalism Poor odds $1.6k 87 devs
  43. Multiple Endings + Military Poor odds $1.6k 36 devs
  44. Multiple Endings + Faith Poor odds $1.6k 38 devs
  45. Multiple Endings + Dogs Poor odds $1.5k 22 devs
  46. Multiple Endings + Cyberpunk Poor odds $1.5k 96 devs
  47. Multiple Endings + Sci-fi Poor odds $1.4k 391 devs
  48. Multiple Endings + Robots Poor odds $1.4k 52 devs
  49. Multiple Endings + Post-apocalyptic Poor odds $1.3k 118 devs
  50. Multiple Endings + Zombies Poor odds $1.3k 59 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition 2015 · $1.2B Assassin's Creed® Odyssey 2018 · $310M Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition 2022 · $297M Detroit: Become Human 2020 · $272M Hollow Knight: Silksong 2025 · $232M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition older $49.99 823,357 96% 25M $1.2B (exactly $1,234,788,493) CD PROJEKT RED
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey older $59.99 172,149 89% 5.2M $310M (exactly $309,816,555) Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Bucharest, Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Kiev, Ubisoft Shanghai)
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition older $59.99 164,914 79% 4.9M $297M (exactly $296,795,726) Techland
Detroit: Become Human older $39.99 226,411 96% 6.8M $272M (exactly $271,625,277) Quantic Dream
Hollow Knight: Silksong $19.99 386,977 89% 12M $232M (exactly $232,070,107) Team Cherry
Hollow Knight older $14.99 502,960 96% 15M $226M (exactly $226,181,112) Team Cherry
S.T.A.L.K.E.R. 2: Heart of Chornobyl $59.99 106,592 81% 3.2M $192M (exactly $191,833,622) GSC Game World
Persona 5 Royal older $59.99 91,682 96% 2.8M $165M (exactly $165,000,095) ATLUS
Stellar Blade™ $59.99 61,289 93% 1.8M $110M (exactly $110,301,813) SHIFT UP Corporation
Lies of P older $59.99 58,411 91% 1.8M $105M (exactly $105,122,277) NEOWIZ
SILENT HILL 2 $69.99 43,367 94% 1.3M $91M (exactly $91,057,690) Bloober Team SA
Dragon Age™: The Veilguard $59.99 41,393 67% 1.2M $74M (exactly $74,494,982) BioWare
Tainted Grail: The Fall of Avalon $44.99 33,560 87% 1.0M $45M (exactly $45,295,932) Questline
DYNASTY WARRIORS: ORIGINS $69.99 19,578 92% 587k $41M (exactly $41,107,927) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
SILENT HILL f $69.99 19,061 80% 572k $40M (exactly $40,022,382) NeoBards Entertainment Ltd.
The Blood of Dawnwalker $69.99 15,789 86% 474k $33M (exactly $33,152,163) Rebel Wolves
Magical Girl Witch Trials $29.99 29,869 96% 896k $27M (exactly $26,873,139) Acacia, Re,AER

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.