Do I ship it?

Games › Time Manipulation › Time Manipulation + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time Manipulation Multiple Endings game?

Time Manipulation + Multiple Endings

Of 37 developers who shipped a Time Manipulation Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 78 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.6k, ×7.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $340k, ×722 the market median. Revenue is up 30% on the market; 78 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 30% on the market, 78 announced, ×4.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Time Manipulation + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 37
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.9k → $4.1k → $839 → $2.4k → $19k → $599 (still earning) → $450 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Time Manipulation + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 37
Bottom 30% $450 (exactly $450)
Median $3.6k (exactly $3,593)
Top 25% $19k (exactly $19,424)
Top 5% $343k (exactly $343,028)
Developers, 2 yr 37
Released games 94
Announced 78
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Time Manipulation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Time Manipulation, Multiple Endings; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, RPG
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 5,538 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $3.6k, 1 in 4 over $19k, 1 in 20 over $340k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 78 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Time Manipulation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair14 devs · median $2.7k · 9 announced
  2. + CapitalismFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  3. + ModernFair12 devs · median $987 · 9 announced
  4. + PsychologicalFair18 devs · median $897 · 17 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair10 devs · median $657 · 15 announced
  6. + RacingFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  7. + Precision PlatformerFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  8. + Choose Your Own AdventurePoor odds9 devs · median $13k · 24 announced
  9. + RobotsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 16 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds7 devs · median $6.7k · 22 announced
  11. + DetectivePoor odds16 devs · median $6.5k · 32 announced
  12. + NoirPoor odds9 devs · median $6.5k · 15 announced

All 103 pairs on the Time Manipulation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Singularity™ 2010 · $4.9M Nobody Wants to Die 2024 · $4.4M DevilConnection 2025 · $975k Million Depth 2025 · $343k The Posthumous Investigation 2026 · $332k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Singularity™ older $29.99 5,487 93% 165k $4.9M (exactly $4,936,654) Raven Software
Nobody Wants to Die older $24.99 5,818 83% 175k $4.4M (exactly $4,361,755) Critical Hit Games
DevilConnection $16.66 1,951 98% 59k $975k (exactly $975,110) ChaoGames
Million Depth $16.99 673 93% 20k $343k (exactly $343,028) Cyber Space Biotope
The Posthumous Investigation $19.99 554 94% 17k $332k (exactly $332,234) Mother Gaia Studio
Deadeye Deepfake Simulacrum $12.99 839 98% 25k $327k (exactly $326,958) nodayshalleraseyou
Eternal Threads older $19.99 543 87% 16k $326k (exactly $325,637) Cosmonaut Studios
Kill The Shadow $16.99 447 86% 13k $228k (exactly $227,836) Shadowlight
DragonLoop $8.99 567 91% 17k $153k (exactly $152,920) 沙因, 小阮
ChronoClock older $29.99 151 91% 4.5k $136k (exactly $135,855) Purple Software
Super Puzzled Cat $16.99 183 98% 5.5k $93k (exactly $93,275) Penguin Mug Games
Retrace the Light $17.99 170 85% 5.1k $92k (exactly $91,749) Xiaming Game
The Demons Told Me to Make This Game · EA $12.99 100 98% 3.0k $39k (exactly $38,970) Haunted Dude
A Better World $11.99 54 64% 1.6k $19k (exactly $19,424) Ludogram, ARTE France

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.