Do I ship it?

GamesLocal MultiplayerLocal Multiplayer + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Local Multiplayer game?

Local Multiplayer + Medieval

Of 54 developers who shipped a Medieval Local Multiplayer game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 74 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×3.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $98k, ×208 the market median. Revenue is up 210% on the market; 74 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 210% on the market, 74 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Multiplayer + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 54
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $719 → $5.0k → $1.8k → $150 → $3.9k → $2.7k (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Multiplayer + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 54
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,556)
Top 25% $7.5k (exactly $7,492)
Top 5% $99k (exactly $98,765)
Developers, 2 yr 54
Released games 187
Announced 74
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 210% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Multiplayer; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Combat, Co-op
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 1,995 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $7.4k, 1 in 20 over $98k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. Nearly all of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 74 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Multiplayer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HockeyStrong odds11 devs · median $3.0k · 12 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair61 devs · median $5.8k · 64 announced
  3. + Action RPGFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  4. + Hex GridFair12 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  5. + ModernFair24 devs · median $3.6k · 16 announced
  6. + WargameFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  7. + TennisFair18 devs · median $2.3k · 10 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 8 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair26 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  10. + Football (American)Fair13 devs · median $1.8k · 4 announced
  11. + SportsFair196 devs · median $1.6k · 208 announced
  12. + RunnerFair23 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced

All 174 pairs on the Local Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Castle Crashers® older $14.99 109,654 96% 3.3M $49M (exactly $49,311,404) The Behemoth
Kingdom Two Crowns older $19.99 31,259 90% 938k $19M (exactly $18,746,022) Fury Studios, Coatsink
SOULCALIBUR VI older $59.99 9,768 83% 293k $18M (exactly $17,579,470) BANDAI NAMCO Studios Inc., Dimps Corpor… (BANDAI NAMCO Studios Inc., Dimps Corporation)
GORN older $19.99 7,449 94% 223k $4.5M (exactly $4,467,165) Free Lives
Hellish Quart · EA older $17.99 8,068 88% 242k $4.4M (exactly $4,354,300) Kubold
Conquest of Elysium 5 older $29.99 1,872 90% 56k $1.7M (exactly $1,684,238) Illwinter Game Design
Rock of Ages 2: Bigger & Boulder™ older $14.99 2,792 90% 84k $1.3M (exactly $1,255,562) ACE Team
Rock of Ages older $9.99 3,364 92% 101k $1.0M (exactly $1,008,191) ACE Team
Swords and Sandals Classic Collection older $9.99 2,905 92% 87k $871k (exactly $870,628) Whiskeybarrel Studios
Carcassonne - Tiles & Tactics older $9.99 1,978 83% 59k $593k (exactly $592,807) Artefacts Studio
Gladio Mori $15.99 1,147 82% 34k $550k (exactly $550,216) Plebeian Studio
Worlds of Aria $14.99 220 90% 6.6k $99k (exactly $98,934) Ludogram
DSS 2: War Industry $17.99 183 83% 5.5k $99k (exactly $98,765) vikingfabian
Ritter & Rotwein $12.49 86 68% 2.6k $32k (exactly $32,224) Hurdy-Gurdy Games
Mittelland AD $8.99 117 96% 3.5k $32k (exactly $31,555) BKM
Rogue Fist $8.99 92 89% 2.8k $25k (exactly $24,812) Wetcoat Games
Wizzerd Quest 2 $14.99 54 74% 1.6k $24k (exactly $24,284) Kondoorsoft
Sword & Siege Crusades: Book I $39.95 19 100% 570 $23k (exactly $22,772) Wargame Design Studio
Monarchy $14.99 47 78% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Brain Seal Ltd
Horn of the Warlord $14.99 30 96% 900 $13k (exactly $13,491) MagicKrol

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.