Do I ship it?

Games › Spectacle fighter › Spectacle fighter + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Spectacle fighter?

Spectacle fighter + Medieval

Of 36 developers who shipped a Medieval Spectacle fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 57 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×1.8 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $660k, ×447 the market median. Revenue is up 12345% on the market; 57 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 12345% on the market, 57 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Spectacle fighter + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 36
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $599 → $26k → $537 → $9.9k → $103k (still earning) → $33k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Spectacle fighter + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 36
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,697)
Top 25% $109k (exactly $108,726)
Top 5% $669k (exactly $668,930)
Developers, 2 yr 36
Released games 92
Announced 57
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 12345% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Spectacle fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Spectacle fighter; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Hack and Slash
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 8,619 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $100k, 1 in 20 over $660k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Spectacle fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Score AttackFair31 devs · median $4.3k · 29 announced
  2. + HorrorFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 16 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $65k · 11 announced
  4. + Character Action GamePoor odds22 devs · median $58k · 44 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds16 devs · median $33k · 17 announced
  7. + Sci-fiPoor odds48 devs · median $17k · 82 announced
  8. + RobotsPoor odds15 devs · median $16k · 35 announced
  9. + MythologyPoor odds16 devs · median $11k · 24 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds45 devs · median $7.2k · 86 announced
  11. + FightingPoor odds25 devs · median $7.2k · 40 announced
  12. + Hack and SlashPoor odds77 devs · median $6.7k · 142 announced

All 99 pairs on the Spectacle fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Castlevania: Lords of Shadow – Ultimate Edition 2013 · $7.2M Stonemachia 2026 · $746k LIZARDS MUST DIE 2 2025 · $669k Shady Knight 2024 · $539k 1348 Ex Voto 2026 · $529k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Castlevania: Lords of Shadow – Ultimate Edition older $29.99 7,998 80% 240k $7.2M (exactly $7,195,801) MercurySteam, Climax Studios
Stonemachia $19.99 1,244 95% 37k $746k (exactly $746,027) Crossfall Games
LIZARDS MUST DIE 2 $9.99 2,232 94% 67k $669k (exactly $668,930) the Bratans, Smola Game Studio
Shady Knight $19.99 898 93% 27k $539k (exactly $538,531) Alexey 'cptnsigh'
1348 Ex Voto $24.99 705 53% 21k $529k (exactly $528,538) Sedleo
Rune Coliseum · EA $18.99 886 79% 27k $505k (exactly $504,754) Rafale Software
Wretch: Divine Ascent $14.99 975 75% 29k $438k (exactly $438,458) Ogopogo
Tales Of Glory older $10.99 1,042 80% 31k $344k (exactly $343,547) BlackTale Games
Divinum $14.99 525 85% 16k $236k (exactly $236,092) Sigil Games
Stickman Strikes: Conquer Fantasy World $11.99 642 78% 19k $231k (exactly $230,927) LGaoGame
Blood Crawler $12.99 279 76% 8.4k $109k (exactly $108,726) c3アート
The Awakener: Battle Tendency $14.98 233 74% 7.0k $105k (exactly $104,710) TANER GAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.