Do I ship it?

GamesGrid-Based MovementGrid-Based Movement + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Grid-Based Movement game?

Grid-Based Movement + Medieval

Of 58 developers who shipped a Medieval Grid-Based Movement game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 121 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×3.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×293 the market median. Revenue is up 80% on the market; 121 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 121 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Grid-Based Movement + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 58
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $3.8k → $3.2k → $179 → $1.0k → $3.7k → $1.9k (still earning) → $1.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Grid-Based Movement + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 58
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,799)
Top 25% $7.6k (exactly $7,645)
Top 5% $139k (exactly $139,241)
Developers, 2 yr 58
Released games 187
Announced 121
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Grid-Based Movement
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Grid-Based Movement; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Turn-Based Combat, RPG, Strategy
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 4,024 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $7.6k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 9 in 10 of the 34 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 121 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Grid-Based Movement with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair22 devs · median $3.0k · 30 announced
  2. + EconomyFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 29 announced
  3. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $959 · 26 announced
  4. + MiningFair12 devs · median $899 · 14 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair17 devs · median $809 · 17 announced
  6. + BuildingFair50 devs · median $719 · 57 announced
  7. + HackingFair14 devs · median $719 · 11 announced
  8. + SokobanFair143 devs · median $657 · 135 announced
  9. + ProgrammingFair23 devs · median $599 · 24 announced
  10. + DogsFair14 devs · median $599 · 7 announced
  11. + PlatformerFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  12. + Puzzle PlatformerFair62 devs · median $449 · 56 announced

All 126 pairs on the Grid-Based Movement page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
King Arthur: Knight's Tale older $44.99 6,722 83% 202k $9.1M (exactly $9,072,683) NeocoreGames
Low Magic Age · EA older $14.99 3,342 89% 100k $1.5M (exactly $1,502,897) Low Magic Studios
Lost Eidolons: Veil of the Witch $24.99 1,293 81% 39k $969k (exactly $969,362) Ocean Drive Studio, Inc.
Those Who Rule $17.99 1,116 89% 33k $602k (exactly $602,305) Eldin Turulja
King Arthur: Legion IX older $19.99 774 72% 23k $464k (exactly $464,168) NeocoreGames
Field of Glory II: Medieval older $29.99 424 86% 13k $381k (exactly $381,473) Byzantine Games
Mercenaries Blaze older $19.99 561 75% 17k $336k (exactly $336,432) ESQUADRA,inc., RideonJapan
Death Crown older $12.99 516 89% 15k $201k (exactly $201,085) 5WORD Team
Path of the Abyss $6.99 664 92% 20k $139k (exactly $139,241) Suzuki Suzuzou
Dark Quest 3 older $18.99 231 73% 6.9k $132k (exactly $131,601) Brain Seal Ltd
Veterum $19.99 204 85% 6.1k $122k (exactly $122,339) Crasleen Games
Master of Piece · EA $14.99 197 86% 5.9k $89k (exactly $88,591) I M GAME, I M fine
Lost In The Open · EA $15.99 160 61% 4.8k $77k (exactly $76,752) Black Voyage Games
A Kobold Story : Trenchcoat Adventurer $19.99 72 95% 2.2k $43k (exactly $43,178) Crystal Spider Games
The Darkness Below $16.99 78 80% 2.3k $40k (exactly $39,757) ELEFTHERIADIS SAVVAS
Dawn of the Ashen Queen $19.99 60 81% 1.8k $36k (exactly $35,982) Shattered Moon Games
Gold and Graves $5.99 180 86% 5.4k $32k (exactly $32,346) Yoon

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.