Do I ship it?

GamesLootLoot + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Loot game?

Loot + Medieval

Of 133 developers who shipped a Medieval Loot game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 277 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×4.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $370k, ×589 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 277 games are announced against 90 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 277 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Loot + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 133
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.2k → $2.1k → $3.4k → $10k → $6.4k → $3.6k → $2.7k (still earning) → $1.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Loot + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 133
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $3.0k (exactly $2,967)
Top 25% $23k (exactly $22,661)
Top 5% $370k (exactly $370,028)
Developers, 2 yr 133
Released games 316
Announced 277
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 110% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Loot
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Loot; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Adventure, Action RPG
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $18.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 15,236 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $3.0k, 1 in 4 over $22k, 1 in 20 over $370k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 7 in 10 of the 48 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 277 games are announced against 90 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Loot with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds28 devs · median $19k · 22 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  3. + SteampunkStrong odds7 devs · median $2.2k · 10 announced
  4. + CapitalismFair36 devs · median $14k · 52 announced
  5. + Turn-Based StrategyFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  6. + JRPGFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  7. + EconomyFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  8. + IdlerFair181 devs · median $4.5k · 256 announced
  9. + CatsFair17 devs · median $3.4k · 24 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair145 devs · median $2.9k · 236 announced
  11. + Creature CollectorFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  12. + CollectathonFair90 devs · median $1.9k · 95 announced

All 159 pairs on the Loot page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Nioh 2 – The Complete Edition older $49.99 33,892 87% 1.0M $51M (exactly $50,827,832) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Wolcen: Lords of Mayhem older $19.99 61,837 55% 1.9M $37M (exactly $37,083,649) WOLCEN Studio
Vikings - Wolves of Midgard older $29.99 2,808 58% 84k $2.5M (exactly $2,526,358) Games Farm
Wild Terra 2: New Lands older $39.99 1,379 62% 41k $1.7M (exactly $1,654,386) Juvty Worlds
Siralim Ultimate older $19.99 2,145 92% 64k $1.3M (exactly $1,286,356) Thylacine Studios
Megaloot older $9.99 3,808 71% 114k $1.1M (exactly $1,141,258) axilirate
Lucky Tower Ultimate $14.99 2,281 94% 68k $1.0M (exactly $1,025,766) Studio Seufz
再刷一把2:金色传说 $9.99 2,748 44% 82k $824k (exactly $823,576) 滑稽工作室
Slice & Dice older $8.99 2,484 96% 75k $670k (exactly $669,935) Tann
Wizordum $19.99 880 91% 26k $528k (exactly $527,736) Emberheart Games
Tangy TD $9.99 1,508 90% 45k $452k (exactly $451,948) Cakez
Overlooting $9.99 1,405 81% 42k $421k (exactly $421,078) Posing Possums
Heretical · EA $14.99 933 84% 28k $420k (exactly $419,570) Three Swords Studio
Loot of Baal $8.99 1,372 62% 41k $370k (exactly $370,028) Gleamer Studio
Jacksmith: Weapons and Warriors $5.99 1,897 97% 57k $341k (exactly $340,891) Flipline Studios
RAIDBORN $24.99 431 66% 13k $323k (exactly $323,121) Phodex Games
This Ain’t Even Poker, Ya Joker $5.99 1,781 86% 53k $320k (exactly $320,046) Mash

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.