Do I ship it?

GamesAuto BattlerAuto Battler + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Auto Battler?

Auto Battler + Medieval

Of 137 developers who shipped a Medieval Auto Battler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 242 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×3.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $320k, ×675 the market median. Revenue is up 20% on the market; 242 games are announced against 88 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 242 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Auto Battler + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 137
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.3k → $1.8k → $24k → $7.5k → $1.6k → $1.7k → $1.6k (still earning) → $3.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Auto Battler + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 137
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,678)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $13,755)
Top 5% $320k (exactly $320,404)
Developers, 2 yr 137
Released games 264
Announced 242
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Auto Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Auto Battler; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Roguelike, Combat
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 42,185 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $320k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 63 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 242 games are announced against 88 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Auto Battler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $14k · 14 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonFair17 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  3. + AutomationFair112 devs · median $4.5k · 153 announced
  4. + Action RTSFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  5. + SimulationFair219 devs · median $2.5k · 293 announced
  6. + EconomyFair59 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced
  7. + SandboxFair45 devs · median $1.9k · 42 announced
  8. + CyberpunkFair20 devs · median $1.7k · 25 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair23 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  10. + CatsFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 14 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair78 devs · median $1.1k · 93 announced
  12. + SwordplayFair13 devs · median $1.1k · 8 announced

All 119 pairs on the Auto Battler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Legion TD 2 - Multiplayer Tower Defense older $24.99 12,607 86% 378k $9.5M (exactly $9,451,468) AutoAttack Games
Thronefall $12.99 22,966 96% 689k $8.9M (exactly $8,949,850) GrizzlyGames, Mythwright
The King is Watching $14.99 9,006 88% 270k $4.0M (exactly $4,049,998) Hypnohead
Gladiator Guild Manager older $14.99 3,808 80% 114k $1.7M (exactly $1,712,458) Entertainment Forge
Path of Achra older $9.99 3,166 98% 95k $949k (exactly $948,850) Ulfsire
Oaken Tower · EA $9.99 3,024 89% 91k $906k (exactly $906,293) Bocary Studios
Vivid Knight older $14.99 1,635 89% 49k $735k (exactly $735,260) Asobism.Co.,Ltd
Resist the succubus—The end of the female Knight older $16.99 1,370 74% 41k $698k (exactly $698,289) BoRoBoRoGame
Eslabong · EA $14.99 1,077 95% 32k $484k (exactly $484,327) shirowita
Wretch: Divine Ascent $14.99 975 75% 29k $438k (exactly $438,458) Ogopogo
Overlooting $9.99 1,405 81% 42k $421k (exactly $421,078) Posing Possums
There Are No Orcs $8.99 1,188 93% 36k $320k (exactly $320,404) BaseTrade Studio
TRADESMAN: Deal to Dealer $4.99 1,528 78% 46k $229k (exactly $228,742) AZAMATIKA
NationWar2:Chronicle $16.99 378 78% 11k $193k (exactly $192,667) Yiming
Bones and Coins $7.99 638 72% 19k $153k (exactly $152,929) Troyd Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.