Do I ship it?

GamesGod GameGod Game + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval God Game?

God Game + Medieval

Of 30 developers who shipped a Medieval God Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×3.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $660k, ×1054 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 37 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 37 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
God Game + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 30
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.3k → $6.9k → $3.7k → $599 → $13k → $9.0k → $1.5k (still earning) → $600 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for God Game + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 30
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,249)
Top 25% $26k (exactly $26,258)
Top 5% $662k (exactly $661,958)
Developers, 2 yr 30
Released games 87
Announced 37
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

God Game
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
God Game; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Building, Simulation
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 6,169 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $26k, 1 in 20 over $660k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 6 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 37 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

God Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair19 devs · median $12k · 28 announced
  2. + EconomyFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  3. + PuzzleFair27 devs · median $1.2k · 30 announced
  4. + Inventory ManagementFair16 devs · median $1.1k · 15 announced
  5. + DestructionFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  6. + DystopianFair14 devs · median $898 · 10 announced
  7. + IdlerFair91 devs · median $839 · 95 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair79 devs · median $807 · 71 announced
  9. + ArcadeLong shot17 devs · median $390 · 20 announced
  10. + Farming SimLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  11. + AgricultureLong shot9 devs · median $180 · 7 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $28k · 77 announced

All 96 pairs on the God Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
WorldBox - God Simulator · EA older $19.99 51,071 95% 1.5M $31M (exactly $30,627,279) Maxim Karpenko
Fantasy Map Simulator · EA older $7.99 4,190 89% 126k $1.0M (exactly $1,004,343) The Stranger
Ruinarch older $24.99 1,336 62% 40k $1.0M (exactly $1,001,599) Maccima Games LLC
Driftland: The Magic Revival older $19.99 1,439 73% 43k $863k (exactly $862,968) Star Drifters
Stonemachia $19.99 1,244 95% 37k $746k (exactly $746,027) Crossfall Games
Dungeon Tycoon $14.99 1,472 78% 44k $662k (exactly $661,958) Lunheim Studios
Roman Triumph: Survival City Builder $24.99 742 83% 22k $556k (exactly $556,277) Coreffect Interactive
FlowScape older $14.99 1,230 84% 37k $553k (exactly $553,131) Pixel Forest Games
Townsmen VR older $39.99 426 83% 13k $511k (exactly $511,072) HandyGames
Doodle Empires · EA $6.99 1,279 92% 38k $268k (exactly $268,206) Turtle Stack Games
Battle On! Hero Academy $4.99 756 83% 23k $113k (exactly $113,173) MMUnit
Pandora's Toybox $9.99 372 83% 11k $111k (exactly $111,488) BetaLab
Underworld Overseer $19.99 52 90% 1.6k $31k (exactly $31,184) Myron Games
Crownbound - Fantasy Kingdom Sim $11.99 73 47% 2.2k $26k (exactly $26,258) Bart Mamzer
Religion inc. $4.99 128 72% 3.8k $19k (exactly $19,162) GameFirst
Zen World $9.99 51 80% 1.5k $15k (exactly $15,285) Cartboard Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.