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Should I ship a Medieval Dynamic Narration game?
Dynamic Narration + Medieval
Only 18 developers shipped a Medieval Dynamic Narration game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Corruption Town, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 49 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.5k, ×5.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $440k, ×939 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 49 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $270 (exactly $270) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.5k (exactly $2,516) |
| Top 25% | $9.0k (exactly $8,991) |
| Top 5% | $446k (exactly $446,102) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 18 |
| Released games | 41 |
| Announced | 49 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Dynamic Narration
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Medieval
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Dynamic Narration; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Choices Matter, RPG, Sandbox
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 1,388 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $270. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 49 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Dynamic Narration with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SportsStrong odds
- + IncrementalFair
- + IdlerFair
- + ModernFair
- + TacticalFair
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + RoguelikePoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
- + Word GamePoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + ManagementPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Corruption Town | · EA | $14.99 | 992 88% | 30k | $446k (exactly $446,102) | BoredBasmati |
| | The Inquisitor | older | $39.99 | 277 66% | 8.3k | $332k (exactly $332,317) | The Dust S.A. |
| | Dustgrave: A Sandbox RPG | · EA | $21.99 | 94 71% | 2.8k | $62k (exactly $62,012) | Innervoid Interactive |
| | Run TavernQuest | $12.99 | 134 93% | 4.0k | $52k (exactly $52,220) | Silicon Sundial | |
| | The King's Dilemma: Chronicles | older | $14.99 | 102 70% | 3.1k | $46k (exactly $45,869) | Big Trouble |
| | Medieval Legacy | $19.99 | 66 86% | 2.0k | $40k (exactly $39,580) | Ninetoplay | |
| | Forgotten Fables: Wolves on the Westwind | older | $19.99 | 65 86% | 2.0k | $39k (exactly $38,980) | Owned by Gravity, Ulisses Digital |
| | AI Society | $9.99 | 30 63% | 900 | $9.0k (exactly $8,991) | b8ve | |
| | Ceaseless Night | older | $14.99 | 13 76% | 390 | $5.8k (exactly $5,846) | JABDP Studio |
| | Middle Evil: The Priest | older | $5.99 | 29 93% | 870 | $5.2k (exactly $5,211) | diedemor studio |
| | Ironblood | · EA | $19.99 | 7 71% | 210 | $4.2k (exactly $4,198) | Jack Wilds |
| | RolemIAster | · EA | $5.99 | 23 56% | 690 | $4.1k (exactly $4,133) | ABAFE |
| | The Exorcist | $7.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $2.6k (exactly $2,637) | Necto | |
| | Unfair Rampage: Knightfall | $5.99 | 14 85% | 420 | $2.5k (exactly $2,516) | Imphenzia | |
| | Fate’s Theater | $2.99 | 17 88% | 510 | $1.5k (exactly $1,525) | Totally Normal Creature |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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