Do I ship it?

GamesFishingFishing + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Fishing game?

Fishing + Medieval

Only 9 developers shipped a Medieval Fishing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Quinfall, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×6.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×3.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $3.6M, ×7617 the market median. Revenue is up 1695% on the market; 34 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 1695% on the market, 34 announced, ×6.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Fishing + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Fishing + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,678)
Top 25% $69k (exactly $68,554)
Top 5% $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 27
Announced 34
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1695% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Fishing
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Fishing
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 59% positive over 19,728 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $68k, 1 in 20 over $3.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Fishing with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FarmingFair31 devs · median $18k · 26 announced
  2. + AutomationFair40 devs · median $3.4k · 46 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair64 devs · median $1.8k · 87 announced
  4. + Score AttackFair11 devs · median $719 · 8 announced
  5. + ArcadeFair51 devs · median $716 · 64 announced
  6. + Co-opPoor odds39 devs · median $70k · 73 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds14 devs · median $47k · 29 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds34 devs · median $36k · 85 announced
  9. + EconomyPoor odds49 devs · median $23k · 66 announced
  10. + CapitalismPoor odds15 devs · median $23k · 18 announced
  11. + AgriculturePoor odds48 devs · median $18k · 80 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $15k · 30 announced

All 77 pairs on the Fishing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Quinfall $9.99 12,073 50% 362k $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278) Vawraek Technology Inc.
Mirthwood $24.99 2,242 69% 67k $1.7M (exactly $1,680,827) Bad Ridge Games
Phoenotopia: Awakening older $19.99 2,755 82% 83k $1.7M (exactly $1,652,173) Cape Cosmic
Shoppe Keep 2 older $9.99 1,527 57% 46k $458k (exactly $457,642) Strange Fire
9th Dawn III older $15.99 501 87% 15k $240k (exactly $240,330) Valorware
Garlant: My Story older $10.99 234 84% 7.0k $77k (exactly $77,150) Flt Studio
Knights End $7.99 286 90% 8.6k $69k (exactly $68,554) Knight Shift Studios
Verdant Village · EA older $14.99 48 87% 1.4k $22k (exactly $21,586) Exodus Software
The Grindstone older $19.99 30 86% 900 $18k (exactly $17,991) Wolfs Moon Studios
Upgradia · EA $9.99 32 65% 960 $9.6k (exactly $9,590) Mytharia
RuneClick $6.99 8 100% 240 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) Vosk Games
Fisherman's Palace · EA $15.99 2 0% 60 $959 (exactly $959) SuperuserGames
The Farming Frontier $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Cuneyt Aliustaoglu
Nick's Text Adventure $2.99 2 50% 60 $179 (exactly $179) GXPlay
Demon's Regalia: Colosseum · EA $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) regalfang

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.