Do I ship it?

Games › Mechanics › 3D Fighter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter

Of 444 developers who shipped a 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 712 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 237 developers shipped in the last year and 712 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 712 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 444
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $597 → $358 → $599 → $329 → $598 → $599 → $359 (still earning) → $179 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 444
Bottom 30% $89 (exactly $89)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,695)
Top 5% $247k (exactly $247,460)
Developers, 2 yr 444
Released games 1,573
Announced 712
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 125,995 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $89, median $450, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $240k.

3 in 10 developers made under $89. 9 in 10 of the 305 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 712 games are announced against 237 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with 3D Fighter

127 pairs · ranked by verdict, then medianwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. 3D Fighter + Management Fair $3.1k 11 devs
  2. 3D Fighter + Female Protagonist Fair $2.1k 34 devs
  3. 3D Fighter + Walking Simulator Fair $1.2k 17 devs
  4. 3D Fighter + Choose Your Own Adventure Long shot $1.0k 17 devs
  5. 3D Fighter + Rhythm Long shot $898 9 devs
  6. 3D Fighter + Collectathon Long shot $598 15 devs
  7. 3D Fighter + Modern Long shot $539 12 devs
  8. 3D Fighter + Simulation Long shot $538 83 devs
  9. 3D Fighter + Fighting Poor odds $5.0k 55 devs
  10. 3D Fighter + Wrestling Poor odds $2.3k 11 devs
  11. 3D Fighter + Life Sim Poor odds $2.1k 10 devs
  12. 3D Fighter + Historical Poor odds $1.6k 14 devs
  13. 3D Fighter + Spectacle fighter Poor odds $1.5k 67 devs
  14. 3D Fighter + Stealth Poor odds $1.4k 15 devs
  15. 3D Fighter + Souls-like Poor odds $1.4k 39 devs
  16. 3D Fighter + Sandbox Poor odds $1.4k 26 devs
  17. 3D Fighter + Martial Arts Poor odds $1.3k 59 devs
  18. Immersive Sim + 3D Fighter Poor odds $1.3k 25 devs
  19. 3D Fighter + Multiple Endings Poor odds $1.3k 9 devs
  20. 3D Fighter + Local Multiplayer Poor odds $1.2k 52 devs
  21. 3D Fighter + Vehicular Combat Poor odds $1.2k 12 devs
  22. 3D Fighter + Co-op Poor odds $1.2k 36 devs
  23. 3D Fighter + Local Co-Op Poor odds $1.2k 20 devs
  24. 3D Fighter + Character Customization Poor odds $987 62 devs
  25. 3D Fighter + Hidden Object Poor odds $980 21 devs
  26. 3D Fighter + War Poor odds $899 22 devs
  27. 3D Fighter + Survival Horror Poor odds $899 16 devs
  28. 3D Fighter + Base Building Poor odds $899 11 devs
  29. 3D Fighter + Bullet Time Poor odds $899 7 devs
  30. 3D Fighter + Physics Poor odds $898 69 devs
  31. 3D Fighter + Party Game Poor odds $898 19 devs
  32. 3D Fighter + Medieval Poor odds $839 50 devs
  33. 3D Fighter + Real Time Tactics Poor odds $839 17 devs
  34. 3D Fighter + Crafting Poor odds $810 14 devs
  35. 3D Fighter + Action RPG Poor odds $809 78 devs
  36. 3D Fighter + Procedural Generation Poor odds $809 10 devs
  37. 3D Fighter + Roguelike Poor odds $748 25 devs
  38. 3D Fighter + Roguelite Poor odds $748 21 devs
  39. 3D Fighter + 2D Fighter Poor odds $719 16 devs
  40. 3D Fighter + Dark Fantasy Poor odds $718 35 devs
  41. 3D Fighter + Destruction Poor odds $718 21 devs
  42. PvP + 3D Fighter Poor odds $599 131 devs
  43. 3D Fighter + Hack and Slash Poor odds $599 78 devs
  44. 3D Fighter + Exploration Poor odds $599 58 devs
  45. 3D Fighter + Boxing Poor odds $599 38 devs
  46. 3D Fighter + Magic Poor odds $599 32 devs
  47. 3D Fighter + Horror Poor odds $599 29 devs
  48. Online Co-Op + 3D Fighter Poor odds $570 33 devs
  49. 3D Fighter + Arcade Poor odds $539 103 devs
  50. 3D Fighter + Puzzle Poor odds $539 16 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

TEKKEN 7 2017 · $82M DRAGON BALL: Sparking! ZERO 2024 · $76M Chivalry 2 2022 · $56M TEKKEN 8 2024 · $55M Party Animals 2023 · $34M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
TEKKEN 7 older $39.99 68,063 83% 2.0M $82M (exactly $81,655,181) BANDAI NAMCO Studios Inc.
DRAGON BALL: Sparking! ZERO $49.99 50,395 86% 1.5M $76M (exactly $75,577,382) Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd.
Chivalry 2 older $39.99 46,707 79% 1.4M $56M (exactly $56,034,388) Torn Banner Studios
TEKKEN 8 older $39.99 46,009 56% 1.4M $55M (exactly $55,196,997) Bandai Namco Studios Inc.
Party Animals older $19.99 56,043 81% 1.7M $34M (exactly $33,608,987) Recreate Games
Gang Beasts older $19.99 54,880 85% 1.6M $33M (exactly $32,911,536) Boneloaf, Rocket Science
Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Hinokami Chronicles older $59.99 16,545 87% 496k $30M (exactly $29,776,036) CyberConnect2
Undisputed $49.99 19,190 60% 576k $29M (exactly $28,779,243) Steel City Interactive
Clone Drone in the Danger Zone older $19.99 36,084 96% 1.1M $22M (exactly $21,639,575) Doborog Games
JoJo's Bizarre Adventure: All-Star Battle R older $49.99 14,344 91% 430k $22M (exactly $21,511,697) CyberConnect2 Co. Ltd.
Half Sword · EA $24.99 28,656 71% 860k $21M (exactly $21,483,403) Half Sword Games
BLEACH Rebirth of Souls $59.99 4,831 68% 145k $8.7M (exactly $8,694,351) TAMSOFT CORPORATION
THE KING OF FIGHTERS XV $29.99 8,399 83% 252k $7.6M (exactly $7,556,580) SNK CORPORATION
WWE 2K25 $59.99 4,108 73% 123k $7.4M (exactly $7,393,168) Visual Concepts
Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Hinokami Chronicles 2 $59.99 2,879 83% 86k $5.2M (exactly $5,181,336) CyberConnect2
WWE 2K26 $69.99 2,310 56% 69k $4.9M (exactly $4,850,307) Visual Concepts
Samson $24.99 2,911 54% 87k $2.2M (exactly $2,182,377) Liquid Swords
Homura Hime $24.99 2,316 90% 69k $1.7M (exactly $1,736,305) Crimson Dusk

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.