Do I ship it?

Games3D Fighter3D Fighter + Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roguelike 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Roguelike

Of 25 developers who shipped a Roguelike 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×0.5 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300. 36 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper, while revenue is up 360% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 360% on the market, 36 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $329 → $899 → $748 → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,395)
Top 5% $122k (exactly $122,359)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 63
Announced 36
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 360% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Roguelike
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, Roguelike; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Roguelite, Action Roguelike
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 1,247 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $750, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $120k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Clone Drone in the Danger Zone older $19.99 36,084 96% 1.1M $22M (exactly $21,639,575) Doborog Games
UNDERDOGS older $29.99 2,788 97% 84k $2.5M (exactly $2,508,364) One Hamsa
Wretch: Divine Ascent $14.99 975 75% 29k $438k (exactly $438,458) Ogopogo
Kromlech · EA $29.99 136 65% 4.1k $122k (exactly $122,359) Perun Creative
Spider Queen cave older $18.99 159 40% 4.8k $91k (exactly $90,582) 帅宅快乐屋
Skeletal Avenger older $16.99 158 82% 4.7k $81k (exactly $80,533) 10tons Ltd
Steel Knight's ARMIS $9.99 40 57% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) Izanami Game Lab, Inc., FORCES
CICADA $9.99 40 92% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) daimaGAME
Scarlet Moon · EA older $3.99 85 77% 2.6k $10k (exactly $10,174) 月亮上的佳宇
Moor older $14.99 17 76% 510 $7.6k (exactly $7,645) BokehDev
Nekurogahara: Ronin Psyche $39.99 4 75% 120 $4.8k (exactly $4,799) n1lknarf
Elf Adventure: The Lost Castle $6.99 14 28% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) 430Games
InTheLake $4.99 16 100% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) ZhiZhi
King Static · EA $7.99 8 100% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) Spookto
Superation $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Moonsaurus Games
SHARP FISTS $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) WANG LUGUANG

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.