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Should I ship a Roguelike 3D Fighter?
3D Fighter + Roguelike
Of 25 developers who shipped a Roguelike 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $750, ×0.5 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300. 36 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper, while revenue is up 360% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $748 (exactly $748) |
| Top 25% | $2.4k (exactly $2,395) |
| Top 5% | $122k (exactly $122,359) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 25 |
| Released games | 63 |
| Announced | 36 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 360% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 3D Fighter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
- Roguelike
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- 3D Fighter, Roguelike; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Roguelite, Action Roguelike
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 74% positive over 1,247 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ManagementFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot
- + RhythmLong shot
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + ModernLong shot
- + SimulationLong shot
- + FightingPoor odds
- + WrestlingPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Clone Drone in the Danger Zone | older | $19.99 | 36,084 96% | 1.1M | $22M (exactly $21,639,575) | Doborog Games |
| | UNDERDOGS | older | $29.99 | 2,788 97% | 84k | $2.5M (exactly $2,508,364) | One Hamsa |
| | Wretch: Divine Ascent | $14.99 | 975 75% | 29k | $438k (exactly $438,458) | Ogopogo | |
| | Kromlech | · EA | $29.99 | 136 65% | 4.1k | $122k (exactly $122,359) | Perun Creative |
| | Spider Queen cave | older | $18.99 | 159 40% | 4.8k | $91k (exactly $90,582) | 帅宅快乐屋 |
| | Skeletal Avenger | older | $16.99 | 158 82% | 4.7k | $81k (exactly $80,533) | 10tons Ltd |
| | Steel Knight's ARMIS | $9.99 | 40 57% | 1.2k | $12k (exactly $11,988) | Izanami Game Lab, Inc., FORCES | |
| | CICADA | $9.99 | 40 92% | 1.2k | $12k (exactly $11,988) | daimaGAME | |
| | Scarlet Moon | · EA older | $3.99 | 85 77% | 2.6k | $10k (exactly $10,174) | 月亮上的佳宇 |
| | Moor | older | $14.99 | 17 76% | 510 | $7.6k (exactly $7,645) | BokehDev |
| | Nekurogahara: Ronin Psyche | $39.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $4.8k (exactly $4,799) | n1lknarf | |
| | Elf Adventure: The Lost Castle | $6.99 | 14 28% | 420 | $2.9k (exactly $2,936) | 430Games | |
| | InTheLake | $4.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $2.4k (exactly $2,395) | ZhiZhi | |
| | King Static | · EA | $7.99 | 8 100% | 240 | $1.9k (exactly $1,918) | Spookto |
| | Superation | $4.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) | Moonsaurus Games | |
| | SHARP FISTS | $9.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $899 (exactly $899) | WANG LUGUANG |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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