Do I ship it?

Games3D Fighter3D Fighter + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Multiple Endings

Only 9 developers shipped a Multiple Endings 3D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Echoes of Yi : Samsara, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×0.8 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $260k, ×178 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 20 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 20 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $0 → $1.6k → $2.3k → $1.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,258)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $17,261)
Top 5% $266k (exactly $266,267)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 25
Announced 20
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, Multiple Endings
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 1,644 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $260k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 20 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Troublemaker older $19.99 938 89% 28k $563k (exactly $562,519) Gamecom Team
Echoes of Yi : Samsara $19.99 444 67% 13k $266k (exactly $266,267) Runmeng
Anima Gate of Memories: I&II Remaster $24.99 50 90% 1.5k $37k (exactly $37,485) Anima Project
Fugitive Free Rider $8.99 64 78% 1.9k $17k (exactly $17,261) Moka Sphere, SCON
MerFight older $11.99 44 100% 1.3k $16k (exactly $15,827) Mattrified Games, LLC
Trials of Argolis older $7.99 13 92% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) Jan Malitschek
The Jiang Shi 2 :Curse of Soul $0.99 78 94% 2.3k $2.3k (exactly $2,317) 谭浩翔
True Boxing VR · EA older $10.99 5 60% 150 $1.6k (exactly $1,648) K-land Games
Nemunai $6.99 6 83% 180 $1.3k (exactly $1,258) DavMY Studios
OutBreak: The Last Survivor $9.99 2 0% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Briant Entertainment
Russian prison $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Queen of pain
BedTimeStory $1.99 3 100% 90 $179 (exactly $179) eeKim, Hyeonjik Son, JoJJoong, Sena Min… (eeKim, Hyeonjik Son, JoJJoong, Sena Min, Nina, Gun Kang, Woosung Kim, ciel45, Seohyun Yoon)
Detective Pig $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Young Man

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.