Do I ship it?

Games3D Fighter3D Fighter + Female Protagonist

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Female-Led 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Female Protagonist

Of 34 developers who shipped a Female-Led 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×1.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $360. Revenue is up 25% on the market; 42 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 25% on the market, 42 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Female Protagonist
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 34
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $2.4k → $449 → $70k → $2.1k → $4.8k → $2.1k (still earning) → $1.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Female Protagonist: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 34
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,063)
Top 25% $26k (exactly $26,046)
Top 5% $1.7M (exactly $1,736,305)
Developers, 2 yr 34
Released games 117
Announced 42
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 25% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Female Protagonist
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action RPG, Hack and Slash
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Anime, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 13,016 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $26k, 1 in 20 over $1.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 7 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 42 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  3. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  4. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  5. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  6. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  7. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  8. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  9. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  10. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  11. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced
  12. + Spectacle fighterPoor odds67 devs · median $1.5k · 112 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SOULCALIBUR VI older $59.99 9,768 83% 293k $18M (exactly $17,579,470) BANDAI NAMCO Studios Inc., Dimps Corpor… (BANDAI NAMCO Studios Inc., Dimps Corporation)
Street Fighter V older $19.99 27,820 72% 835k $17M (exactly $16,683,654) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
THE KING OF FIGHTERS XV $29.99 8,399 83% 252k $7.6M (exactly $7,556,580) SNK CORPORATION
SENRAN KAGURA ESTIVAL VERSUS older $29.99 4,986 94% 150k $4.5M (exactly $4,485,904) Tamsoft
Onee Chanbara ORIGIN older $59.99 1,217 75% 37k $2.2M (exactly $2,190,235) Tamsoft
Homura Hime $24.99 2,316 90% 69k $1.7M (exactly $1,736,305) Crimson Dusk
Fight Angel Special Edition older $19.99 1,776 75% 53k $1.1M (exactly $1,065,067) Red Fox
KILL la KILL -IF older $19.99 1,651 72% 50k $990k (exactly $990,105) Arc System Works, APLUS Co., Ltd.
Gym Simulator 24 older $12.99 2,531 84% 76k $986k (exactly $986,331) Red Axe Games
Mitsurugi Kamui Hikae older $9.99 2,747 81% 82k $823k (exactly $823,276) Zenith Blue
DEAD OR ALIVE 6 Last Round $39.99 550 31% 17k $660k (exactly $659,835) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Valkyrie of Phantasm $29.99 556 86% 17k $500k (exactly $500,233) AREAZERO
The Knight Girl And Dungeons $11.99 397 67% 12k $143k (exactly $142,801) こねこぼくし
Cultivation Magic World · EA $12.99 276 78% 8.3k $108k (exactly $107,557) DMG Studio
Snow x Hime $12.99 195 55% 5.9k $76k (exactly $75,992) Kazuya, tensun3d
Ys vs. Trails in the Sky: Alternative Saga $34.99 59 94% 1.8k $62k (exactly $61,932) Nihon Falcom
Kraken City $4.99 189 67% 5.7k $28k (exactly $28,293) nStarcube
Innocent Assault SS $10.99 79 84% 2.4k $26k (exactly $26,046) ひみつ結社キジネコ

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.