Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Fighter › 3D Fighter + Action RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 3D Fighter Action RPG?

3D Fighter + Action RPG

Of 78 developers who shipped a 3D Fighter Action RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 124 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $810, ×0.5 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $59. 124 games are announced against 45 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper, while revenue is up 20% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 124 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Action RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 78
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $719 → $539 → $449 → $479 → $1.0k → $1.4k → $450 (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Action RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 78
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $809 (exactly $809)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,985)
Top 5% $231k (exactly $230,927)
Developers, 2 yr 78
Released games 248
Announced 124
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Action RPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, Action RPG; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, RPG, Adventure
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $20.00 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $20.00 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 7,212 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $810, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $230k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 9 in 10 of the 53 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 124 games are announced against 45 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Lost Judgment 2022 · $9.0M Onee Chanbara ORIGIN 2020 · $2.2M Homura Hime 2026 · $1.7M Fight Angel Special Edition 2019 · $1.1M ELDERBORN 2020 · $1.0M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Lost Judgment older $39.99 7,461 93% 224k $9.0M (exactly $8,950,962) RGG Studio
Onee Chanbara ORIGIN older $59.99 1,217 75% 37k $2.2M (exactly $2,190,235) Tamsoft
Homura Hime $24.99 2,316 90% 69k $1.7M (exactly $1,736,305) Crimson Dusk
Fight Angel Special Edition older $19.99 1,776 75% 53k $1.1M (exactly $1,065,067) Red Fox
ELDERBORN older $14.99 2,229 87% 67k $1.0M (exactly $1,002,381) Hyperstrange
近畿霊務局 - Kinki Spiritual Affairs Bureau $9.99 2,780 92% 83k $833k (exactly $833,166) Noto Muteki
Troublemaker older $19.99 938 89% 28k $563k (exactly $562,519) Gamecom Team
武林志2 (Wushu Chronicles 2) · EA older $19.99 795 41% 24k $477k (exactly $476,761) JiangHu Studio
Echoes of Yi : Samsara $19.99 444 67% 13k $266k (exactly $266,267) Runmeng
Legends of Hidden Sword · EA older $16.99 517 58% 16k $264k (exactly $263,515) 神经刀游戏工作室
Stickman Strikes: Conquer Fantasy World $11.99 642 78% 19k $231k (exactly $230,927) LGaoGame
Kromlech · EA $29.99 136 65% 4.1k $122k (exactly $122,359) Perun Creative
Cultivation Magic World · EA $12.99 276 78% 8.3k $108k (exactly $107,557) DMG Studio
Redemption of Liuyin $18.99 137 83% 4.1k $78k (exactly $78,049) kingnagame
Snow x Hime $12.99 195 55% 5.9k $76k (exactly $75,992) Kazuya, tensun3d
Fight School Simulator $9.99 227 88% 6.8k $68k (exactly $68,032) Queen
Ys vs. Trails in the Sky: Alternative Saga $34.99 59 94% 1.8k $62k (exactly $61,932) Nihon Falcom

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.