Do I ship it?

GamesOnline Co-OpOnline Co-Op + 3D Fighter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Online Co-Op 3D Fighter?

Online Co-Op + 3D Fighter

Of 33 developers who shipped an Online Co-Op 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 58 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $570, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $75. 58 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper, while revenue is down 55% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 58 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Online Co-Op + 3D Fighter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 33
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $3.0k → $599 → $570 → $32k → $479 → $299 (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Online Co-Op + 3D Fighter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 33
Bottom 30% $75 (exactly $75)
Median $570 (exactly $570)
Top 25% $6.1k (exactly $6,110)
Top 5% $5.2M (exactly $5,181,336)
Developers, 2 yr 33
Released games 113
Announced 58
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 35%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Online Co-Op
effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Online Co-Op, 3D Fighter; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry PvP, Action, Co-op
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $59.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Funny, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 8,481 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $75, median $570, 1 in 4 over $6.1k, 1 in 20 over $5.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $75. 7 in 10 of the 26 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 58 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Online Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Bullet HeavenStrong odds27 devs · median $9.3k · 38 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair31 devs · median $14k · 32 announced
  3. + TypingFair16 devs · median $5.0k · 12 announced
  4. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 34 announced
  5. + Point & ClickFair28 devs · median $1.7k · 34 announced
  6. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds29 devs · median $443k · 70 announced
  7. + TransportationPoor odds14 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  8. + JRPGPoor odds11 devs · median $346k · 16 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds72 devs · median $217k · 139 announced
  10. + World War IIPoor odds10 devs · median $188k · 18 announced
  11. + City BuilderPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds20 devs · median $95k · 18 announced

All 211 pairs on the Online Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Party Animals older $19.99 56,043 81% 1.7M $34M (exactly $33,608,987) Recreate Games
Clone Drone in the Danger Zone older $19.99 36,084 96% 1.1M $22M (exactly $21,639,575) Doborog Games
WWE 2K25 $59.99 4,108 73% 123k $7.4M (exactly $7,393,168) Visual Concepts
Jujutsu Kaisen Cursed Clash older $59.99 3,051 60% 92k $5.5M (exactly $5,490,885) Byking Inc.
Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Hinokami Chronicles 2 $59.99 2,879 83% 86k $5.2M (exactly $5,181,336) CyberConnect2
AEW: Fight Forever older $39.99 1,343 59% 40k $1.6M (exactly $1,611,197) YUKE'S
Capcom Fighting Collection 2 $39.99 734 85% 22k $881k (exactly $880,580) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
MageQuit older $14.99 1,032 94% 31k $464k (exactly $464,090) Bowlcut Studios
Fight Crab older $19.99 747 94% 22k $448k (exactly $447,976) Calappa Games
TOUHOU SKY ARENA MATSURI CLIMAX older $19.99 200 86% 6.0k $120k (exactly $119,940) AREAZERO
Elements Divided $14.99 137 86% 4.1k $62k (exactly $61,609) Loco Motion Devs
Knock'Em Out $7.99 239 85% 7.2k $57k (exactly $57,288) BBear Studio
Mayhemers · EA $6.99 154 84% 4.6k $32k (exactly $32,294) Anigtas
Super Shout Showdown · EA $7.99 111 83% 3.3k $27k (exactly $26,607) Rezero Studio
Mini Bash $9.99 33 93% 990 $9.9k (exactly $9,890) Imperial Reality Labs
Quantum Beast $5.99 34 100% 1.0k $6.1k (exactly $6,110) RaidenV_00
Bird Game 3 $2.49 52 65% 1.6k $3.9k (exactly $3,884) Birdgame Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.