Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Fighter › 3D Fighter + Puzzle

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Puzzle 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Puzzle

Only 16 developers shipped a Puzzle 3D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Project Three, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×4.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $59. 21 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper, while revenue is up 50% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 50% on the market, 21 announced, ×4.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Puzzle
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $386 → $1.3k → $539 → $450 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Puzzle: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $539 (exactly $539)
Top 25% $1.5k (exactly $1,468)
Top 5% $9.3k (exactly $9,348)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 50
Announced 21
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Puzzle
effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, Puzzle
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 173 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $540, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $9.3k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. All of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Spider Queen cave 2023 · $91k Stilt 2024 · $17k DzombZ 2023 · EA · $11k Project Three 2025 · EA · $9.3k Gangsta Magic 2020 · $4.3k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Spider Queen cave older $18.99 159 40% 4.8k $91k (exactly $90,582) 帅宅快乐屋
Stilt older $19.99 29 89% 870 $17k (exactly $17,391) Rekt Games
DzombZ · EA older $12.99 29 68% 870 $11k (exactly $11,301) Houari Mohamed Amine
Project Three · EA $7.99 39 23% 1.2k $9.3k (exactly $9,348) The Only Way Out
Gangsta Magic older $4.99 29 82% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
Hidden Heir $4.99 21 66% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) AYS CODE YAZILIM
Zilar: Empire Of The Underground $4.99 18 100% 540 $2.7k (exactly $2,695) Sthard Game
PathUp! $6.99 7 85% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) Geghamyan Hrachya
Pinhead Adventures · EA older $14.99 3 33% 90 $1.3k (exactly $1,349) Neversold
Nemunai $6.99 6 83% 180 $1.3k (exactly $1,258) DavMY Studios
MEMOLOGY: ESCAPE OF MEMES $0.99 35 91% 1.1k $1.0k (exactly $1,040) Gamesforfarm, Piece Of Voxel
The Memological Dungeon $0.99 33 90% 990 $980 (exactly $980) Gamesforfarm
Sycamore $5.99 3 100% 90 $539 (exactly $539) [untitledDev]
Beer Runner $1.99 9 88% 270 $537 (exactly $537) Bonittor Games
Lumos $8.00 2 50% 60 $480 (exactly $480) littledevx

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.