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Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure 3D Fighter?
3D Fighter + Choose Your Own Adventure
Only 17 developers shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure 3D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced.
Verdict: long shot, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×0.7 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $450k, ×306 the market median. Revenue is up 150% on the market; 20 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $450 (exactly $450) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.0k (exactly $1,040) |
| Top 25% | $10k (exactly $10,190) |
| Top 5% | $459k (exactly $458,816) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 55 |
| Announced | 20 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 150% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 3D Fighter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- 3D Fighter, Choose Your Own Adventure; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, RPG
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 968 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. All of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ManagementFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + RhythmLong shot
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + ModernLong shot
- + SimulationLong shot
- + FightingPoor odds
- + WrestlingPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Spectacle fighterPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator | · EA | $24.99 | 612 81% | 18k | $459k (exactly $458,816) | Contec Games |
| | Kromlech | · EA | $29.99 | 136 65% | 4.1k | $122k (exactly $122,359) | Perun Creative |
| | Whisper Trip | older | $4.99 | 90 60% | 2.7k | $13k (exactly $13,473) | Walnut LLC |
| | Wild Alone | $10.99 | 38 47% | 1.1k | $13k (exactly $12,529) | Wild Alone 21 | |
| | Bloodface | $7.99 | 50 70% | 1.5k | $12k (exactly $11,985) | Iron Forge Games | |
| | Weekend Warriors MMA | older | $5.99 | 65 80% | 2.0k | $12k (exactly $11,680) | MDickie |
| | Wasteland with Robots | $9.99 | 34 94% | 1.0k | $10k (exactly $10,190) | Gamesforgames | |
| | Fairspace | older | $8.99 | 28 64% | 840 | $7.6k (exactly $7,552) | Sub Orbital Software |
| | Soulsland | older | $4.99 | 32 59% | 960 | $4.8k (exactly $4,790) | Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software, NTStudi… (Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software, NTStudios) |
| | Dark Days : Devil Hunt | older | $12.99 | 8 37% | 240 | $3.1k (exactly $3,118) | Mavi Game Studios |
| | Big Theft Valkeala | $2.99 | 17 76% | 510 | $1.5k (exactly $1,525) | Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software, Kendall… (Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software, Kendall Studios) | |
| | Assassin Of Goblin | $3.99 | 12 66% | 360 | $1.4k (exactly $1,436) | Saylor Games | |
| | Pulse | $39.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $1.2k (exactly $1,200) | Lebedev Artem | |
| | MEMOLOGY: ESCAPE OF MEMES | $0.99 | 35 91% | 1.1k | $1.0k (exactly $1,040) | Gamesforfarm, Piece Of Voxel | |
| | The Memological Dungeon | $0.99 | 33 90% | 990 | $980 (exactly $980) | Gamesforfarm |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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