Do I ship it?

Games3D Fighter3D Fighter + Party Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Party Game 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Party Game

Only 19 developers shipped a Party Game 3D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Knock'Em Out, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 59 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180. 59 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper, while revenue is down 35% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 59 announced, ×4.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Party Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.0k → $1.2k → $2.6k → $449 (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Party Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $4.0k (exactly $4,046)
Top 5% $57k (exactly $57,288)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 52
Announced 59
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 29%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Party Game
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, Party Game; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Beat 'em up, Fighting
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Funny, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 450 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $900, 1 in 4 over $4.0k, 1 in 20 over $57k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 59 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Party Animals older $19.99 56,043 81% 1.7M $34M (exactly $33,608,987) Recreate Games
Gang Beasts older $19.99 54,880 85% 1.6M $33M (exactly $32,911,536) Boneloaf, Rocket Science
MageQuit older $14.99 1,032 94% 31k $464k (exactly $464,090) Bowlcut Studios
A Gummy's Life older $19.99 194 81% 5.8k $116k (exactly $116,342) EP Games®
Mad Streets older $14.99 200 85% 6.0k $90k (exactly $89,940) Craftshop Arts Inc.
Knock'Em Out $7.99 239 85% 7.2k $57k (exactly $57,288) BBear Studio
Super Shout Showdown · EA $7.99 111 83% 3.3k $27k (exactly $26,607) Rezero Studio
Drunken Wrestlers 2 · EA older $3.99 206 77% 6.2k $25k (exactly $24,658) Oleg Skutte
Knockout Party older $6.99 111 70% 3.3k $23k (exactly $23,277) Toxic Studio
Foreskin Fury older $3.99 83 89% 2.5k $9.9k (exactly $9,935) Stupid Industries
Amer Fighting - عامر المشاجرة $9.99 29 93% 870 $8.7k (exactly $8,691) Mad Hook
Holiday Party: Mascot Brawl $13.99 12 100% 360 $5.0k (exactly $5,036) NAMSON Digital
Shaolin Bao $8.99 15 93% 450 $4.0k (exactly $4,046) SCH Games
Hoover Heroes · EA $6.99 14 100% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) Kiki Games
Mineral Madness $7.99 11 90% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) Whacky Mole Studio
Elemental Showdown $7.99 5 100% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Grumpy Duck Games
RAGDOLL UNIVERSE · EA $4.99 8 87% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) MageC
Trombone Rumble $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Biksari Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.