Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Fighter › 3D Fighter + War

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a War 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + War

Of 22 developers who shipped a War 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180. 35 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper, while revenue is up 1525% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 1525% on the market, 35 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + War
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $599 → $807 → $240 → $298 → $2.7k → $2.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + War: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Top 5% $19k (exactly $19,429)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 97
Announced 35
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1525% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 30%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
War
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Combat, Simulation
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 2,966 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $900, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $19k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Chivalry 2 2022 · $56M 近畿霊務局 - Kinki Spiritual Affairs Bureau 2024 · $833k Aggressor 2021 · EA · $103k Swords Fantasy: Battlefield 2023 · EA · $60k Dynasty Protocol 2026 · $19k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Chivalry 2 older $39.99 46,707 79% 1.4M $56M (exactly $56,034,388) Torn Banner Studios
近畿霊務局 - Kinki Spiritual Affairs Bureau $9.99 2,780 92% 83k $833k (exactly $833,166) Noto Muteki
Aggressor · EA older $19.99 172 61% 5.2k $103k (exactly $103,148) Flashpoint Studios
Swords Fantasy: Battlefield · EA older $11.99 167 78% 5.0k $60k (exactly $60,070) Quacky Games
Dynasty Protocol $17.99 36 63% 1.1k $19k (exactly $19,429) Ellipses Studios
Bloodface $7.99 50 70% 1.5k $12k (exactly $11,985) Iron Forge Games
PaintBall War 2 older $3.99 91 50% 2.7k $11k (exactly $10,893) ShadowWolf Games
Bakemono - Demon Brigade Tenmen Unit 01 · EA older $19.99 17 70% 510 $10k (exactly $10,195) SuperSane Games
Leave No One Behind: Ia Drang VR older $24.99 12 50% 360 $9.0k (exactly $8,996) Gaming 301
Mobile Front $4.99 48 77% 1.4k $7.2k (exactly $7,186) Mafty
Bridge Hunter · EA $9.99 12 100% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Double Light
Spectacular Team: Assemble $7.99 13 100% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) Sengi Games
Real RC: Flight Simulator Aircraft Remote Control 2026 $29.99 3 33% 90 $2.7k (exactly $2,699) Thetis Games
Final Strategy $12.99 6 16% 180 $2.3k (exactly $2,338) Final Strategy Studio
Tank Simulator $8.99 8 12% 240 $2.2k (exactly $2,158) Imperian Online - Praha
Forest $3.99 10 0% 300 $1.2k (exactly $1,197) Ihor Lema

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.